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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 400-449 | 100% | +43 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <400 | 0% | −62 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 450-499 | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 500-549 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 550-599 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 600-649 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 650-699 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 700-749 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 750-799 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 800+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 637d | FoldingNuts272 | 400-449 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,823 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 637d | GimmeMyMoney-009 | 400-449 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,513 | −$26 −0.4% | — |
| 637d | BunnyProfit | 400-449 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,182 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 637d | openzone | 450-499 | SellNo>99¢ | $10,934 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 637d |  Baghodler | 400-449 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,441 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 637d |  gt3rs | 400-449 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,401 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 637d | NathanLee03 | 400-449 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,042 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 637d |  LMAOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO2 fills | 400-449 | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,397 | −$323 −13% | — |
| 637d | Mhodlr | 400-449 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,499 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 637d | astromage | 450-499 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,259 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 637d | noovd | 400-449 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,572 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 637d | Gamblrx3 | 450-499 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 637d | astromage3 fills | 400-449 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,504 | +$239 +5.3% | 20 |
| 637d |  pirateshere | 750-799 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 637d | Ole888 | 400-449 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,045 | −$18 −1.7% | — |
| 637d | Snoorrason | 450-499 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 637d | Gamblrx3 | 500-549 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,935 | +$16 +0.1% | 20 |
| 637d | Snoorrason | 500-549 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 637d | Snoorrason | 400-449 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,413 | +$6 +0.4% | 20 |
| 637d |  moomoomoo3 fills | 400-449 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $29,493 | +$284 +1.0% | 20 |
| 637d | astromage2 fills | 500-549 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,737 | −$20 −0.3% | — |
| 637d | glarity | 500-549 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,443 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 638d |  Camarad | 400-449 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,606 | −$13 −0.8% | — |
| 638d |  thought | 400-449 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,543 | +$31 +2.0% | 20 |
| 638d | leiger2 fills | 400-449 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,723 | +$96 +2.0% | 20 |
| 638d | goldingboy2 fills | 450-499 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,899 | +$164 +1.4% | 20 |
| 638d | cigarettes3 fills | 450-499 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,397 | +$196 +3.6% | 21 |
| 638d | xbtclassic | 400-449 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | +$36 +3.2% | 20 |
| 638d | cigarettes3 fills | 500-549 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,586 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 638d | Mhodlr | 400-449 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,311 | +$192 +4.5% | 20 |
| 638d | leiger | 450-499 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,538 | +$136 +5.4% | 20 |
| 638d | leiger2 fills | 500-549 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,014 | −$14 −0.3% | — |
| 638d | leiger | 500-549 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,325 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 638d |  catasus3 fills | 400-449 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $9,091 | +$970 +11% | 20 |
| 638d |  Faladian | 400-449 | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,391 | −$326 −14% | — |
| 638d |  CHHOOSE | 500-549 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,453 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 638d | astromage2 fills | 500-549 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,122 | +$12 +0.2% | 20 |
| 638d |  ZalmolxisDacul2 fills | 400-449 | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,389 | −$316 −13% | — |
| 638d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec3 fills | 400-449 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,808 | +$546 +11% | 23 |
| 638d | glarity2 fills | 500-549 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,099 | +$36 +0.7% | 20 |
| 638d |  AcctToBeRetired | 450-499 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$186 +9.3% | 23 |
| 638d | GimmeMyMoney-0093 fills | 400-449 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $4,415 | +$1,090 +25% | 25 |
| 638d | FoldingNuts2722 fills | 800+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,381 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 638d | LMAOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO2 fills | 400-449 | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $2,131 | +$589 +28% | 26 |
| 638d |  Prexpect | 400-449 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,174 | +$175 +15% | 24 |
| 638d | fengzi123 | 400-449 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $2,395 | +$399 +17% | 25 |
| 638d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 400-449 | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,471 | −$490 −33% | — |
| 638d | lexfry112 fills | 450-499 | BuyYes16¢ → 0¢ | $2,834 | −$2,834 −100% | 37 |
| 638d | OAVG | 400-449 | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,703 | −$665 −39% | — |
| 638d | FoldingNuts2722 fills | <400 | BuyNo>99¢ | $60,440 | +$61 +0.1% | 20 |
| 638d | Prexpect | 500-549 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,982 | +$18 +0.9% | 20 |
| 638d | Smile72 fills | <400 | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $4,583 | −$682 −15% | — |
| 638d |  Skovorodnikov | <400 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,143 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 638d | tf2 | <400 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,857 | +$18 +0.1% | 20 |
| 638d | ZalmolxisDacul | 400-449 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $3,038 | +$455 +15% | 23 |
| 638d | edc-25 fills | 800+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,388 | +$42 +0.4% | 20 |
| 638d |  Euan2 fills | <400 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,709 | +$162 +4.4% | 21 |
| 638d | SquidGame-3262 fills | 400-449 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $3,753 | +$965 +26% | 25 |
| 638d | Euan | <400 | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | −$132 −12% | — |
| 638d | oneday1 | 400-449 | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,562 | +$325 +21% | 25 |
This is a market on predicting the total number of tweets by Elon Musk between January 10 and January 17.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 400-449 means the market gives it about 100%.