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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 500+ | 100% | +18 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <250 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 250-274 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 275-299 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 300-324 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 325-349 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 350-374 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 375-399 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 400-424 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 425-449 | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 450-474 | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 475-499 | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 646d | Rogu2 fills | 500+ | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $4,982 | −$391 −7.8% | — |
| 646d |  Teddy. | 500+ | SellYes>99¢ | $1,112 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 646d | oneday12 fills | 500+ | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $18,362 | −$1,281 −7.0% | — |
| 646d | 911TurboS | 500+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,556 | +$21 +0.1% | 20 |
| 647d |  Sszb | 500+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,200 | +$20 +0.1% | 20 |
| 647d | Pel | 500+ | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,144 | −$29 −0.6% | — |
| 647d |  JUstinS-059 | 500+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,175 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 647d | JUstinS-059 | 425-449 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,175 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 647d |  MACDNOTWORKING | 500+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,619 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 647d | astromage3 fills | 500+ | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $12,695 | +$100 +0.8% | 20 |
| 647d | Happyjoe | 500+ | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,852 | +$29 +1.0% | 20 |
| 647d |  ThetaDecayGod | 500+ | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,339 | +$104 +1.0% | 20 |
| 647d |  RiseAndSunny | 500+ | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,485 | −$193 −2.0% | — |
| 647d |  Baghodler | 500+ | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,154 | −$14 −1.2% | — |
| 647d | Lavs3838 | 500+ | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,268 | +$53 +4.2% | 21 |
| 647d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec18 fills | 500+ | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $53,824 | +$11,258 +21% | 21 |
| 647d | astromage | 425-449 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,030 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 647d | JUstinS-0592 fills | 425-449 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,350 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 647d | Solovii | 500+ | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,048 | −$116 −11% | — |
| 647d | rbucur10 | 500+ | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,318 | −$143 −11% | — |
| 647d | Solovii | 500+ | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | +$70 +6.4% | 21 |
| 647d | Baghodler | 500+ | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | +$70 +6.4% | 21 |
| 647d | Baghodler | 400-424 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,098 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 647d |  Bang...6 fills | 500+ | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $25,015 | +$3,154 +13% | 22 |
| 647d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec4 fills | 500+ | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $18,024 | −$2,700 −15% | — |
| 647d |  catasus3 fills | 500+ | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $9,192 | +$2,878 +31% | 22 |
| 647d | RHGsda | 400-424 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,064 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 647d | braveB | 500+ | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,213 | −$181 −15% | — |
| 647d | RHGsda | 400-424 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,066 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 647d | 911TurboS | 375-399 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,422 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 647d | Rogu | 500+ | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,110 | +$372 +18% | 23 |
| 647d | chocolate1232 fills | 375-399 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,316 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 647d | JUstinS-059 | 375-399 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,175 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 647d | wokerjoesleeper | 400-424 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,143 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 647d | wokerjoesleeper | 425-449 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,118 | +$29 +2.6% | 20 |
| 647d | wokerjoesleeper | 450-474 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | +$69 +6.4% | 21 |
| 647d | wokerjoesleeper | 375-399 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,145 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 647d | lexfry113 fills | 500+ | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $7,371 | +$2,696 +37% | 22 |
| 647d | oneday12 fills | 500+ | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $3,389 | +$1,007 +30% | 24 |
| 647d |  ElonSpam | 500+ | SellYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,361 | −$907 −67% | — |
| 647d | catasus2 fills | 500+ | SellYes68¢ → 100¢ | $2,758 | −$1,326 −48% | — |
| 647d | MACDNOTWORKING | 375-399 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,617 | +$8 +0.3% | 20 |
| 647d | Raduci | 500+ | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | +$227 +21% | 23 |
| 647d | RiseAndSunny2 fills | 500+ | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $2,810 | +$880 +31% | 24 |
| 647d |  cdpor2 | 500+ | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,285 | +$343 +27% | 24 |
| 648d | leiger | 400-424 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,338 | +$11 +0.8% | 20 |
| 648d | JUstinS-059 | 400-424 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,174 | +$7 +0.6% | 20 |
| 648d | ThetaDecayGod | 350-374 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,036 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 648d | Bang... | 375-399 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,842 | +$23 +0.2% | 20 |
| 648d | Pel2 fills | 500+ | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $4,085 | +$1,088 +27% | 24 |
| 648d | glarity | 350-374 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,303 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 648d | BoredRock | 375-399 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,564 | +$11 +0.3% | 20 |
| 648d | JUstinS-059 | 350-374 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,186 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 648d | Glev | 425-449 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,121 | +$59 +5.3% | 20 |
| 648d | euron | 500+ | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,403 | +$577 +41% | 22 |
| 648d | MACDNOTWORKING | 350-374 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,446 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 648d | Smile7 | 500+ | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $2,130 | +$870 +41% | 22 |
| 648d | MACDNOTWORKING | 325-349 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,100 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 648d | 911TurboS2 fills | 300-324 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,025 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 648d | Yosoyespanol | 300-324 | SellNo>99¢ | $10,517 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
enochsmiles10,000 shares
idunnoman6,249 shares
IVELOSTMYHOUSE462 sharesThis is a market on predicting the number of tweets Elon Musk will make between December 3 and January 10.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 500+ means the market gives it about 100%.