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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 130–144 | 100% | +48 pts | +86 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <100 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100–114 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 115–129 | 0% | −17 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 145–159 | 0% | −42 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 160–174 | 0% | −7 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 175–189 | 0% | −2 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 190–204 | 0% | −1 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 205–219 | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 220–234 | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 235–249 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 250–264 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 265–279 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 280–294 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 295+ | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 476d | arttheking | 160–174 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,034 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 476d | timler | 130–144 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,550 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 476d | TinyKate | 130–144 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,399 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 476d | jd933 | 130–144 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,504 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 476d |  Prexpect | 130–144 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 476d |  CannaDough | 130–144 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,859 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 476d |  ThewhitewhaleV2 | 130–144 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,091 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 476d | Ignite4 | 130–144 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,369 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 476d |  MrLucker | 130–144 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,717 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 476d |  Elonurmom | 130–144 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,210 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 476d | Sellociompi | 130–144 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,082 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 476d | Teller | 130–144 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,021 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 476d | alasdov | 130–144 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,004 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 476d |  MBB3 | 130–144 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,274 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 476d |  Debosnys | 145–159 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 476d | glarity | 145–159 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 476d |  PredictionYogi | 145–159 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,194 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 476d | Prexpect | 130–144 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,564 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 476d | glarity | 130–144 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 476d | noovd | 130–144 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,884 | +$32 +0.4% | 20 |
| 476d | 0xtrading | 130–144 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,217 | +$5 +0.4% | 20 |
| 476d | leiger | 130–144 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,147 | +$6 +0.5% | 20 |
| 476d | 0xtrading | 145–159 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,722 | +$21 +1.2% | 20 |
| 476d |  Gustav42 fills | 130–144 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,361 | +$59 +2.5% | 21 |
| 476d | afaus | 130–144 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$21 +2.0% | 21 |
| 476d |  Comeback12345 | 130–144 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,934 | −$118 −4.0% | — |
| 476d | JUSTICEYOON | 130–144 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,647 | +$69 +4.2% | 21 |
| 476d | MBB3 | 130–144 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,224 | +$51 +4.2% | 21 |
| 476d |  ElonSpam2 fills | 130–144 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,905 | +$177 +6.1% | 22 |
| 477d | leiger | 160–174 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,130 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 477d | CannaDough2 fills | 130–144 | BuyYes39¢ → 100¢ | $2,273 | +$3,597 +158% | 24 |
| 477d |  ChunkyMonky | 130–144 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,485 | +$439 +18% | 25 |
| 477d | Muskadelic2 fills | 145–159 | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $3,151 | +$757 +24% | 21 |
| 477d | 0x6DD154A4C0 | 190–204 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,844 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 477d | DEFO | 130–144 | SellYes47¢ → 100¢ | $1,632 | −$1,830 −112% | — |
| 477d | Gustav4 | 145–159 | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $1,122 | +$671 +60% | 30 |
| 477d | Ignite4 | 130–144 | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,973 | +$398 +20% | 26 |
| 477d |  Oompah..Loompah | 130–144 | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$600 +33% | 27 |
| 477d | BGN | 145–159 | SellYes22¢ → 0¢ | $2,194 | +$2,194 +100% | — |
| 477d | Comeback12345 | 130–144 | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,052 +53% | 28 |
| 477d | BGN | 130–144 | SellNo43¢ → 0¢ | $1,837 | +$1,837 +100% | — |
| 477d | AreWeNotEntertained | 295+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $48,847 | +$49 +0.1% | 20 |
| 477d | Debosnys | 175–189 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,865 | +$23 +1.2% | 20 |
| 477d | bullishsol | 160–174 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $12,065 | +$520 +4.3% | 21 |
| 477d | ElonSpam3 fills | 175–189 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,370 | +$122 +2.8% | 20 |
| 477d |  arcisdead | 190–204 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,222 | +$12 +1.0% | 20 |
| 477d | arcisdead | 115–129 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,222 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 477d | ElonSpam6 fills | 190–204 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $18,636 | +$272 +1.5% | 20 |
| 477d | PredictionYogi3 fills | 115–129 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $12,353 | +$671 +5.4% | 21 |
| 477d | up2e | 130–144 | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $4,423 | +$3,397 +77% | 28 |
| 477d | Debosnys | 295+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,481 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 477d | xbsuwrkfmdl372 fills | 115–129 | BuyNo>99¢ | $29,510 | +$30 +0.1% | 20 |
| 477d | ElonSpam10 fills | 295+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $28,614 | +$196 +0.7% | 20 |
| 477d | Predictoooooor | 295+ | SellNo>99¢ | $2,226 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 477d | glarity2 fills | 115–129 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,919 | +$24 +0.4% | 20 |
| 478d | 0xtrading | 175–189 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | −$23 −2.3% | — |
| 478d | CoolBeans420 | 115–129 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,493 | +$58 +2.3% | 20 |
| 478d | astromage3 fills | 295+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,397 | +$23 +0.2% | 20 |
| 478d | leiger2 fills | 295+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,974 | +$20 +0.2% | 20 |
| 478d | trade-chemicals | 130–144 | SellNo50¢ → 0¢ | $1,058 | +$1,058 +100% | — |
Tendollars100 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between June 20, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and June 27, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 130–144 means the market gives it about 100%.