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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 165–179 | 100% | +48 pts | +91 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <90 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90–104 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 105–119 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 120–134 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 135–149 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 150–164 | 0% | −8 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 180–194 | 0% | −29 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 195–209 | 0% | −8 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 210–224 | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 225–239 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 240–254 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 255–269 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 270+ | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 469d | Anisakis2 | 180–194 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,377 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 469d |  junseokletsg02 fills | 165–179 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,609 | −$180 −5.0% | — |
| 469d |  S32 | 165–179 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,076 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 470d |  c3rberus | 165–179 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,027 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 470d | timler | 165–179 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 470d | alasdov | 180–194 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,304 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 470d |  Elonurmom | 165–179 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,085 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 470d | Sellociompi | 165–179 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,044 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 470d | xbsuwrkfmdl37 | 165–179 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,066 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 470d | AreWeNotEntertained | 165–179 | BuyYes>99¢ | $198,360 | +$199 +0.1% | 20 |
| 470d | xbsuwrkfmdl37 | 180–194 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,313 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 470d | edc-10 | 165–179 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 470d | glarity | 165–179 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,108 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 470d |  ElonSpam2 fills | 180–194 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,347 | +$13 +0.2% | 20 |
| 470d | xbsuwrkfmdl37 | 180–194 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,160 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 470d |  KING-VIP23 | 150–164 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,994 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 470d |  Prexpect3 fills | 165–179 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,218 | +$47 +0.4% | 20 |
| 470d | Poory | 180–194 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,276 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 470d |  MBB3 | 165–179 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,341 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 470d | nosik | 165–179 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,876 | +$21 +0.3% | 20 |
| 470d | glarity2 fills | 270+ | SellNo>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 470d | leiger | 165–179 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,871 | +$6 +0.3% | 20 |
| 470d | leiger | 195–209 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,871 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 470d | cipherpilot2 fills | 180–194 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,547 | +$68 +0.9% | 20 |
| 470d | cipherpilot | 270+ | SellNo>99¢ | $4,179 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 470d | meehai | 165–179 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,219 | −$15 −1.3% | — |
| 470d | 0xtrading | 165–179 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,117 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 470d | junseokletsg0 | 165–179 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,716 | +$19 +1.1% | 20 |
| 470d | meehai | 165–179 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,257 | +$21 +1.6% | 20 |
| 470d | Poory | 180–194 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$29 +2.4% | 20 |
| 470d | MMlearner | 165–179 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | −$55 −5.1% | — |
| 470d |  Naichli | 180–194 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,978 | +$92 +3.1% | 20 |
| 470d | leiger | 195–209 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,664 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 470d | IKANYAN | 180–194 | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,558 | −$503 −32% | — |
| 470d | HolyFak69 | 165–179 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | −$123 −8.6% | — |
| 470d | ihatelee | 150–164 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,173 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 470d |  CannaDough | 165–179 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,343 | +$56 +4.2% | 20 |
| 470d | Dapper-Grandfather | 150–164 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,277 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 470d | Fariq | 165–179 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,536 | −$162 −6.4% | — |
| 470d | 0x65c65De373A10e5f319f72 | 165–179 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,539 | +$56 +1.0% | 20 |
| 470d |  Gustav42 fills | 150–164 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,152 | +$491 +9.5% | 20 |
| 470d | Siziriv | 165–179 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,102 | −$34 −3.1% | — |
| 470d | AlexPro3 fills | 165–179 | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $9,292 | +$3,829 +41% | 20 |
| 470d | noahcc13 fills | 150–164 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $34,326 | +$2,798 +8.1% | 21 |
| 470d |  arcisdead2 fills | 150–164 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $8,820 | +$611 +6.9% | 21 |
| 470d | noahcc | 180–194 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,211 | −$32 −2.7% | — |
| 470d |  catasus6 fills | 150–164 | BuyYes64¢ → 0¢ | $11,178 | −$11,178 −100% | 20 |
| 470d | zeus76 | 210–224 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,018 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 470d |  PredictionYogi2 fills | 165–179 | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $3,736 | +$2,038 +55% | 20 |
| 470d | PredictionYogi | 165–179 | SellYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,165 | −$835 −72% | — |
| 470d | wokerjoesleeper2 fills | 180–194 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,592 | +$19 +0.8% | 20 |
| 470d | catasus | 180–194 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,319 | +$123 +1.3% | 20 |
| 470d |  Parz1vaI | 150–164 | BuyYes78¢ → 0¢ | $1,120 | −$1,120 −100% | 20 |
| 470d | Dingoose | 180–194 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$26 +1.3% | 20 |
| 470d | glarity2 fills | 180–194 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,870 | +$130 +1.3% | 20 |
| 470d | astromage | 180–194 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,974 | +$79 +1.3% | 20 |
| 470d | Ignite4 | 150–164 | BuyYes72¢ → 0¢ | $2,369 | −$2,369 −100% | 20 |
| 470d | Naichli | 150–164 | BuyYes64¢ → 0¢ | $1,635 | −$1,635 −100% | 20 |
| 470d | meehai | 150–164 | BuyYes64¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | −$1,250 −100% | 20 |
| 470d | astromage | 150–164 | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,988 | −$1,988 −100% | 20 |
GayPride2,500 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between June 20, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and June 27, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 165–179 means the market gives it about 100%.