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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40-64 | 100% | +59 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <40 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 65-89 | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90-114 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 115-139 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 140-164 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 165-189 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 190-214 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 215-239 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 240+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 128d | Repulsive-Eyelids | 40-64 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,136 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 128d | Intelligent-Tax | 40-64 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,267 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 128d | Houdray | 40-64 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,856 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 128d |  PredictionYogi | 40-64 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,202 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 128d | Bankrupt-Loser | 40-64 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,215 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 128d | Healthy-Sightseeing | 40-64 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,428 | −$87 −2.5% | — |
| 128d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | 65-89 | BuyNo100¢ | $3,605 | +$18 +0.5% | 20 |
| 128d | beatyesterday | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 128d |  Annica | 65-89 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,989 | +$64 +0.8% | 20 |
| 128d | Intelligent-Tax2 fills | 65-89 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,018 | +$84 +1.4% | 20 |
| 128d | Intelligent-Tax3 fills | 40-64 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,900 | +$157 +1.4% | 20 |
| 128d | Reliable-Sari | 65-89 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$16 +1.0% | 20 |
| 128d | WCWS3 fills | 40-64 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,696 | +$104 +1.8% | 21 |
| 128d | Intelligent-Tax | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $21,283 | −$21 −0.1% | — |
| 129d |  U1FAC0.B0AB | 40-64 | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,313 | +$306 +23% | 26 |
| 129d |  upont3 fills | 90-114 | BuyNo>99¢ | $38,398 | +$70 +0.2% | 20 |
| 129d | 0x1f05…ba7b | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,174 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 129d | AnonymousPerson | 90-114 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 129d |  Nikzzy | 90-114 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,224 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 129d | xxtgsy | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,498 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 129d | xxtgsy | 90-114 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 129d | Weepy-Apparel | 40-64 | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,557 | +$531 +21% | 28 |
| 129d | 0x265f…a448 | 40-64 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,225 | +$525 +43% | 28 |
| 129d | WCWS2 fills | 90-114 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,968 | +$32 +0.8% | 20 |
| 129d | ManCangGangGanDaDanGan | 90-114 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,228 | +$14 +1.1% | 20 |
| 129d | bipbipbop | 115-139 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,783 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 129d | upont | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $23,287 | +$23 +0.1% | 20 |
| 129d |  Boss7 | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 129d |  stauffen | 65-89 | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $1,128 | +$905 +80% | 28 |
| 129d | carboyant | <40 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,240 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 129d | Ag500k | <40 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,164 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 129d | upont4 fills | <40 | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,024 | +$42 +0.2% | 20 |
| 129d | KazumiKitano2 | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,985 | +$15 +0.3% | 20 |
| 130d | Healthy-Sightseeing | 40-64 | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $1,999 | +$1,514 +76% | 25 |
| 130d | nole-ksum | 90-114 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$60 +2.7% | 20 |
| 130d | b00ze | 40-64 | SellNo52¢ → 0¢ | $1,678 | +$1,678 +100% | — |
| 130d | Po1yBot-QI6GR4DKSp | 90-114 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,953 | +$103 +5.3% | 21 |
| 130d | Frontiersman | <40 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,135 | −$18 −1.6% | — |
| 130d | dudukos | 40-64 | BuyYes47¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,138 +114% | 25 |
| 130d | b00ze | 40-64 | BuyNo54¢ → 0¢ | $2,273 | −$2,273 −100% | 25 |
| 130d | Intelligent-Tax2 fills | 115-139 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,172 | +$150 +2.4% | 20 |
| 130d | Intelligent-Tax3 fills | 90-114 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $8,103 | +$654 +8.1% | 21 |
dz1ft16,192 shares
perps-01sqko85800 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 8 12:00 PM ET to June 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 40-64 means the market gives it about 100%.