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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 360-379 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <20 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20-39 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-59 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60-79 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80-99 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-119 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 120-139 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 140-159 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 160-179 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 180-199 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 200-219 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 220-239 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 240-259 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 260-279 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 280-299 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 300-319 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 320-339 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 340-359 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 380-399 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 400-419 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 420-439 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 440-459 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 460-479 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 480-499 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 500-519 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 520-539 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 540-559 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 560-579 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 580+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206d |  Gabbers | 360-379 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,597 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 206d | Descuy | 360-379 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,298 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 206d |  Zenef | 360-379 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,173 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 206d | Icannotwin | 360-379 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,700 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 206d | Cipry | 360-379 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,515 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 206d |  stauffen | 380-399 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,656 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 206d | Poiuztrewq | 360-379 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,497 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 206d |  Ahinara | 360-379 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,809 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 206d | dudukos | 360-379 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,196 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 206d | benben2026 | 360-379 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,215 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 206d | googoodluclucluckluckluckluck | 380-399 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,985 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 206d | Corny-Crisis | 360-379 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,287 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 206d |  Elonurmom | 360-379 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,438 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 206d |  Boss7 | 360-379 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 206d | French-Saint | 360-379 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,149 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 206d | BigFishSushiChief5 fills | 380-399 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,108 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 206d | lngggg | 380-399 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,235 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 206d |  Prexpect2 fills | 360-379 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,139 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 206d | Boss73 fills | 360-379 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,581 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 206d |  Richgoddess22 fills | 380-399 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,120 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 206d |  MankPredict | 380-399 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,797 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 206d | Antaaa79 | 400-419 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,248 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 206d | suyizi | 360-379 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,082 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 206d | loke00 | 360-379 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,200 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 206d |  PredictionYogi | 360-379 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,575 | +$6 +0.4% | 20 |
| 206d | Boss7 | 380-399 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,385 | +$16 +0.3% | 20 |
| 206d |  Hellyy | 360-379 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,245 | −$14 −1.2% | — |
| 206d | Hellyy | 360-379 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,256 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 206d | influenz.eth4 fills | 380-399 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,864 | +$163 +2.8% | 21 |
| 206d | Elaborate-Knight | 360-379 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,081 | −$57 −1.9% | — |
| 206d | jingyu0112 | 360-379 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,226 | +$9 +0.4% | 20 |
| 206d | jingyu0112 | 340-359 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,226 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 206d | knfnthx | 380-399 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,412 | +$11 +0.8% | 20 |
| 206d | ghdyrdd | 380-399 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,931 | +$32 +0.8% | 20 |
| 206d | ghdyrdd | 340-359 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,951 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 206d | ANITA2026 | 380-399 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$21 +1.0% | 20 |
| 206d | ricepudding | 380-399 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,337 | −$30 −2.2% | — |
| 206d | hyp888 | 380-399 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,985 | +$36 +1.2% | 20 |
| 206d | Boss7 | 400-419 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 206d | amwfhv | 380-399 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,184 | +$51 +1.2% | 20 |
| 206d | 111asdddsa | 360-379 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,661 | +$18 +1.1% | 20 |
| 206d | Ommamal | 380-399 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,124 | +$66 +2.1% | 21 |
| 207d | These-Yoyo | 340-359 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,465 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 207d |  upont | 400-419 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,294 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 207d | forestk | 360-379 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,044 | +$145 +2.1% | 21 |
| 207d | MelH2 fills | 360-379 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,604 | +$145 +5.6% | 22 |
| 207d | WCWS | 400-419 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,298 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 207d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | 400-419 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 207d | Boss7 | 400-419 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 207d | elysiian | 380-399 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | +$43 +3.3% | 21 |
| 207d |  NrNrfNrf2 | 400-419 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,358 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 207d | googoodluclucluckluckluckluck2 fills | 380-399 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,234 | +$111 +4.9% | 22 |
| 207d | ghdyrdd | 360-379 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$105 +5.3% | 22 |
| 207d | Actual-Ladle | 380-399 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,574 | +$136 +5.3% | 22 |
| 207d | AaDron | 420-439 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,500 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 207d | googoodluclucluckluckluckluck | 400-419 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,932 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 207d |  kevinlan0922 | 360-379 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $6,348 | +$322 +5.1% | 22 |
| 207d | influenz.eth | 400-419 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,338 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 207d | bliksi | 360-379 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,823 | +$116 +6.4% | 22 |
| 207d | termita88 | 400-419 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,994 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
iSolCryptoo11,247 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 17 12:00 PM ET to March 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 360-379 means the market gives it about 100%.