Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90-114 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <40 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-64 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 65-89 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 115-139 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 140-164 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 165-189 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 190-214 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 215-239 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 240+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207d |  LeJoe | 140-164 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,602 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 207d | dudukos | 90-114 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,228 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 207d |  PumpThePompey | 90-114 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,000 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 208d |  stauffen | 115-139 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,378 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 208d |  NrNrfNrf2 | 115-139 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,175 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 208d | googoodluclucluckluckluckluck | 90-114 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,045 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 208d | Green-Saint | 90-114 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,459 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 208d | BinaryBaron | 165-189 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,774 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 208d |  FFIE. | 90-114 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,443 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 208d |  TweetPulse.Live | 90-114 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,359 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 208d | sazzaa | 90-114 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,624 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 208d | ppobb1123 | 90-114 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,279 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 208d | jingyu0112 | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,948 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 208d | loveheng | 90-114 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,647 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 208d | suyizi | 90-114 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,781 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 208d | Lumynx | 90-114 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,119 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 208d |  upont | 90-114 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,927 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 208d | BinaryBaron | 90-114 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 208d | loke00 | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,800 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 208d | influenz.eth | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,482 | +$7 +0.3% | 20 |
| 208d | forestk | 90-114 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,215 | +$11 +0.2% | 20 |
| 208d | Actual-Ladle | 90-114 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,514 | +$7 +0.3% | 20 |
| 208d | ghdyrdd | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,487 | +$14 +0.3% | 20 |
| 208d | knfnthx | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,808 | +$8 +0.3% | 20 |
| 208d | 5551ab | 90-114 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,169 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 208d | amwfhv | 90-114 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,092 | +$8 +0.4% | 20 |
| 208d | Elaborate-Knight | 90-114 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,595 | −$19 −0.7% | — |
| 208d | termita88 | 140-164 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,080 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 208d | hyp888 | 115-139 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,936 | +$34 +0.7% | 20 |
| 208d | Collion | 165-189 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,002 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 208d | Green-Saint | 90-114 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | +$36 +2.5% | 21 |
| 208d | upont3 fills | 115-139 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,833 | +$395 +8.2% | 23 |
| 208d |  Archeroon | 115-139 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,384 | −$179 −7.5% | — |
| 208d | Antaaa79 | 140-164 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,168 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 208d | Donkolo | 165-189 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,788 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 208d |  dushen88 | 90-114 | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,192 | −$128 −11% | — |
| 208d |  abellll | 140-164 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,673 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 208d | jianghua3504 | 140-164 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,984 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 208d | Donkolo | 190-214 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 208d | BinaryBaron2 fills | 165-189 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,530 | +$20 +0.1% | 20 |
| 208d | BinaryBaron2 fills | 140-164 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $11,225 | +$181 +1.6% | 20 |
| 208d | beatyesterday | 140-164 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$15 +0.9% | 20 |
| 208d |  Richgoddess2 | 65-89 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,496 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 208d | Mayday0x972 fills | 65-89 | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,113 | −$202 −9.6% | — |
| 208d |  Meow12 | 65-89 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,299 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 208d |  Gustav42 fills | 65-89 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,518 | +$130 +1.1% | 20 |
| 208d | Meow12 | 65-89 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,281 | +$20 +1.5% | 21 |
| 208d | beatyesterday | 65-89 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$41 +0.7% | 20 |
| 208d | venezuelain | 65-89 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,090 | +$110 +1.5% | 21 |
| 208d | Ommamal | 65-89 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,936 | +$104 +3.5% | 21 |
| 208d | bipbipbop2 fills | 115-139 | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,349 | −$560 −24% | — |
| 208d |  Boss72 fills | 165-189 | SellNo>99¢ | $14,785 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 208d | Gustav4 | 65-89 | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,820 | −$180 −9.9% | — |
| 208d | onekey09 | 165-189 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,013 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 208d | abellll | 165-189 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,013 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 208d | Pungent-Almanac | 165-189 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,083 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 208d |  Gabbers | 90-114 | SellYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | −$509 −45% | — |
| 208d | Boss72 fills | 165-189 | BuyNo>99¢ | $26,701 | +$40 +0.2% | 20 |
| 208d | NrNrfNrf2 | 115-139 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | +$165 +16% | 24 |
| 208d |  DJB. | 140-164 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,360 | +$31 +0.9% | 20 |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 21 12:00 PM ET to March 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 90-114 means the market gives it about 100%.