Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65-89 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <40 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-64 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90-114 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 115-139 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 140-164 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 165-189 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 190-214 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 215-239 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 240+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203d | FieryPhoenix | 65-89 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,708 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 203d |  HeveanlyEmma | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,231 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 203d | googoodluclucluckluckluckluck | 65-89 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,700 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 203d | laoli668 | 90-114 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,775 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 203d |  stauffen | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,319 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 203d |  NrNrfNrf2 | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,322 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 203d | googoodluclucluckluckluckluck | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,090 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 203d |  sundogs2 fills | 65-89 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,629 | +$39 +0.4% | 20 |
| 203d |  PredictionYogi4 fills | 65-89 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $15,086 | +$274 +1.8% | 21 |
| 203d | 0x5b63…30d5 | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,232 | −$17 −0.2% | — |
| 203d | ded33 | 90-114 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,276 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 203d | Vynthrax | 65-89 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,757 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 203d | influenz.eth2 fills | 90-114 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,689 | +$43 +1.2% | 20 |
| 203d | qw8128870 | 90-114 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,208 | −$11 −0.9% | — |
| 203d | yip88 | 90-114 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 203d |  upont2 fills | 115-139 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,704 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 203d | googoodluclucluckluckluckluck | 65-89 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | +$22 +2.1% | 21 |
| 203d | wobisheng2111 | 65-89 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | +$21 +2.1% | 21 |
| 203d | yip88 | 115-139 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,034 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 203d | amwfhv | 90-114 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$43 +4.2% | 21 |
| 203d | louiscarl | 115-139 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,048 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 203d |  Boss74 fills | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,508 | +$94 +0.5% | 20 |
| 203d |  Gabbers | 65-89 | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | −$137 −13% | — |
| 203d | Separate-Beast | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 203d | BinaryBaron2 fills | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $33,333 | +$70 +0.2% | 20 |
| 203d | Rickz88 | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,856 | +$6 +0.3% | 20 |
| 203d | phanish | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,109 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 203d | 0x5b63…30d52 fills | 90-114 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $6,373 | +$774 +12% | 24 |
| 203d | Trencher1234 | 65-89 | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | −$308 −31% | — |
| 203d | jianghua3504 | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,006 | +$8 +0.4% | 20 |
| 203d | tradethemarket | 115-139 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | −$8 −0.8% | — |
| 203d |  0xPoni-Elon | 65-89 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,273 | +$227 +18% | 25 |
| 203d | Ommamal | 115-139 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,409 | +$37 +1.1% | 20 |
| 203d | lexapro | 65-89 | SellYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,069 | −$459 −43% | — |
| 203d | Trencher1234 | 65-89 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | +$177 +16% | 24 |
| 203d | termita88 | 90-114 | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | −$175 −13% | — |
| 203d | sevenmoney | 90-114 | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,528 | −$150 −9.8% | — |
| 203d | sevenmoney | 90-114 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,574 | +$104 +6.6% | 22 |
| 203d | PredictionYogi | 65-89 | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | −$140 −7.5% | — |
| 203d | pupupuup | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,083 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 203d |  Argona0x | 65-89 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,554 | +$99 +6.4% | 22 |
| 203d | Thin-Print | 65-89 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,958 | +$139 +7.1% | 22 |
| 203d |  all.in0828 | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,541 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 203d |  Richgoddess2 | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,263 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 203d | Puzzling-Grabbag | 65-89 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,877 | +$110 +5.9% | 22 |
| 203d |  Meow12 | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,598 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 203d |  AlmostRich | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,399 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 203d | Rs3Nurburgring2 fills | 40-64 | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,103 | −$438 −14% | — |
| 203d | ankandrop2 fills | 40-64 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,167 | −$286 −9.0% | — |
| 203d | sunqibin | 40-64 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,498 | −$35 −1.0% | — |
| 203d |  Gustav4 | 40-64 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,654 | +$128 +1.0% | 20 |
| 203d | AlmostRich | 40-64 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,386 | +$14 +1.0% | 20 |
| 203d | Meow12 | 40-64 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,287 | +$13 +1.0% | 20 |
| 203d | Boss7 | 115-139 | SellNo>99¢ | $10,100 | −$30 −0.3% | — |
| 203d | 53K41 | 40-64 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,931 | +$53 +2.7% | 21 |
| 203d | Rs3Nurburgring2 fills | 40-64 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,176 | +$365 +11% | 23 |
| 203d | ankandrop2 fills | 40-64 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,867 | +$587 +20% | 26 |
| 203d | influenz.eth | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,318 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 203d | NrNrfNrf2 | 90-114 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,269 | +$55 +2.4% | 21 |
| 203d | Voluminous-Seed | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,251 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
nimikm2,900 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 26 12:00 PM ET to March 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 65-89 means the market gives it about 100%.