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Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 320–334 | 100% | +81 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <230 | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 230–244 | 0% | −15 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 245–259 | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 260–274 | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 275–289 | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 290–304 | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 305–319 | 0% | −22 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 335–349 | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 350+ | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 498d |  Gustav4 | 320–334 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 498d |  tsys88888 | 335–349 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,266 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 498d | reduxrenaissance | 335–349 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,227 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 498d | dareign | 320–334 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,763 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 498d |  spicytuna | 320–334 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,451 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 498d | edc-10 | 320–334 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,176 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 498d | 0rocky007 | 320–334 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,675 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 498d | edc-10 | 335–349 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,645 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 498d |  PredictionYogi2 fills | 335–349 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,618 | +$101 +1.8% | 20 |
| 498d | iSway | 320–334 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,469 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 498d | astromage2 fills | 335–349 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,371 | +$14 +0.2% | 20 |
| 498d | 0xtrading2 fills | 320–334 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,067 | +$11 +0.3% | 20 |
| 498d |  Prexpect | 320–334 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,432 | +$14 +0.1% | 20 |
| 498d |  HTFK | 320–334 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,308 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 498d | astromage | 320–334 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,271 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 498d | leiger | 335–349 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,773 | +$16 +0.2% | 20 |
| 498d | leiger2 fills | 320–334 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,092 | +$11 +0.4% | 20 |
| 498d |  emodegen | 320–334 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,464 | −$16 −1.1% | — |
| 498d | PredictionYogi | 350+ | SellNo>99¢ | $2,098 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 498d | Gustav44 fills | 320–334 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,708 | +$105 +1.1% | 20 |
| 498d | aInZStD | 350+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $25,447 | +$25 +0.1% | 20 |
| 498d | Gustav43 fills | 335–349 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,206 | +$55 +0.9% | 20 |
| 498d |  Naichli2 fills | 350+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,224 | +$31 +0.3% | 20 |
| 498d | tsys88888 | 335–349 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,217 | +$54 +1.0% | 20 |
| 498d | glarity3 fills | 350+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $24,255 | +$46 +0.2% | 20 |
| 498d |  OuchMyBalls | 320–334 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | −$18 −1.7% | — |
| 498d | xbsuwrkfmdl37 | 350+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,930 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 498d | forestk | 320–334 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,617 | −$41 −2.6% | — |
| 498d | 74a1jkg4d2 fills | 320–334 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,382 | +$65 +1.9% | 20 |
| 498d | reduxrenaissance | 335–349 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,199 | +$29 +2.4% | 20 |
| 498d | cipherpilot3 fills | 350+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,890 | +$26 +0.4% | 20 |
| 498d | tsys88888 | 350+ | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,169 | −$47 −1.5% | — |
| 498d | hasso422 | 320–334 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | +$75 +7.3% | 20 |
| 498d | Naichli | 335–349 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,522 | +$209 +14% | 20 |
| 498d | Ignite4 | 320–334 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,307 | +$194 +15% | 20 |
| 498d | PredictionYogi7 fills | 350+ | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $13,315 | +$1,178 +8.8% | 21 |
| 498d |  catasus | 320–334 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $2,888 | +$1,254 +43% | 20 |
| 498d | Prexpect | 320–334 | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,146 | −$280 −24% | — |
| 498d | 0x265f…a448 | 350+ | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,481 | −$19 −1.3% | — |
| 498d | noovd | 350+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,758 | +$42 +0.6% | 20 |
| 498d | meehai | 320–334 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,700 | +$262 +9.7% | 20 |
| 498d |  Gumba | 350+ | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,571 | +$185 +7.2% | 20 |
| 498d | afaus2 fills | 350+ | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,349 | +$166 +4.9% | 21 |
| 498d | tsys88888 | 350+ | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$215 +7.2% | 20 |
| 498d | cryptoaashik | 320–334 | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,422 | +$578 +41% | 20 |
| 498d | cryptoaashik | 350+ | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,665 | +$335 +7.2% | 20 |
| 498d |  Dr.EmmetBrown | 320–334 | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $3,559 | +$1,917 +54% | 20 |
| 498d | catasus4 fills | 350+ | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $8,169 | +$1,991 +24% | 20 |
| 498d | SirDragon | 320–334 | BuyNo88¢ → 0¢ | $3,060 | −$3,060 −100% | 20 |
| 498d | KrackenSruster | 350+ | SellNo53¢ → 100¢ | $1,281 | −$1,130 −88% | — |
| 498d | cipherpilot | 320–334 | BuyNo73¢ → 0¢ | $3,809 | −$3,809 −100% | 20 |
| 498d | therealbd00 | 350+ | SellNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | −$611 −50% | — |
| 498d | krakenhall | 320–334 | BuyYes41¢ → 100¢ | $2,884 | +$4,172 +145% | 22 |
| 498d | catasus3 fills | 350+ | SellYes34¢ → 0¢ | $5,966 | +$5,966 +100% | — |
| 498d | 0xeccdededcc | 350+ | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $1,553 | +$1,172 +75% | 20 |
| 498d | 0xffffffff | 350+ | BuyYes67¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 20 |
| 498d | aInZStD | 305–319 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,000 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 498d | edc-103 fills | 305–319 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,992 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 498d | astromage | 305–319 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,729 | +$19 +0.2% | 20 |
| 498d | Prexpect | 305–319 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,501 | +$5 +0.4% | 20 |
WhiteLivesMatter3,322 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between May 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and June 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 320–334 means the market gives it about 100%.