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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 375-399 | 100% | +51 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <250 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 250-274 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 275-299 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| 300-324 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 325-349 | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 350-374 | 0% | −54 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 400-424 | 0% | −24 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 425-449 | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 450-474 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 475-499 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 500-524 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 525-549 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 550-574 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 575-599 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 600+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 707d | moneymoneymoneymoney | 400-424 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,981 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 707d | moneymoneymoneymoney | 375-399 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,208 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 707d | TheChosen | 375-399 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,787 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 707d | WigglyWaffles | 375-399 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,011 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 708d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 375-399 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | +$7 +0.6% | 20 |
| 708d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec3 fills | 400-424 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,396 | +$256 +4.7% | 21 |
| 708d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 425-449 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,754 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 708d | EscalateFund | 400-424 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,677 | +$23 +1.4% | 20 |
| 708d | EscalateFund | 375-399 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,098 | +$45 +1.5% | 20 |
| 708d | bett0r1 | 600+ | SellNo>99¢ | $1,388 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 708d |  Flaner | 375-399 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | +$82 +7.7% | 20 |
| 708d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead2 fills | 450-474 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,173 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 708d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec2 fills | 425-449 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,005 | +$38 +1.3% | 20 |
| 708d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec2 fills | 350-374 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,872 | +$93 +3.2% | 21 |
| 708d | moneymoneymoneymoney | 400-424 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,518 | +$136 +8.9% | 23 |
| 708d | EscalateFund | 425-449 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,974 | +$26 +1.3% | 20 |
| 708d |  Mrmarket334 | 400-424 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,045 | +$103 +9.9% | 22 |
| 711d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | 250-274 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 711d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | <250 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 714d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | 600+ | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,133 | +$184 +16% | 21 |
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk from November 1 to November 8.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 375-399 means the market gives it about 100%.