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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 475-499 | 100% | +63 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <300 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 300-324 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 325-349 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 350-374 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 375-399 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 400-424 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 425-449 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 450-474 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 500-524 | 0% | −32 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 525-549 | 0% | −16 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 550+ | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 686d | MoneyPrinter💸 | 475-499 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,390 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 686d | niooon | 550+ | SellNo>99¢ | $2,391 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 686d | leiger | 550+ | SellNo>99¢ | $1,919 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 686d | cipherpilot | 550+ | SellNo>99¢ | $1,719 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 686d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec2 fills | 500-524 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,025 | +$13 +0.4% | 20 |
| 686d | Rogu | 475-499 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,223 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 686d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 475-499 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,294 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 686d | cipherpilot | 500-524 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,904 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 686d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec2 fills | 525-549 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,059 | +$44 +0.6% | 20 |
| 687d | astromage2 fills | 550+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,898 | +$14 +0.2% | 20 |
| 687d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 550+ | SellNo100¢ | $3,085 | −$16 −0.5% | — |
| 687d | leiger | 550+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,245 | +$5 +0.4% | 20 |
| 687d |  soz | 475-499 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,420 | +$294 +12% | 24 |
| 687d | soz | 475-499 | SellYes32¢ → 100¢ | $1,093 | −$2,285 −209% | — |
| 687d |  414B | 475-499 | SellNo61¢ → 0¢ | $1,323 | +$1,323 +100% | — |
| 687d | 414B | 475-499 | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $1,191 | −$1,191 −100% | 28 |
| 687d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | 450-474 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,905 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 687d | fengzi123 | 550+ | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | −$12 −1.1% | — |
| 687d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec5 fills | 550+ | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,516 | +$212 +2.2% | 21 |
| 687d | cigarettes | 550+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,113 | +$7 +0.6% | 20 |
| 687d | cigarettes | 525-549 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | +$37 +3.4% | 21 |
| 687d | 333JORE | 475-499 | BuyNo89¢ → 0¢ | $1,335 | −$1,335 −100% | 23 |
| 688d | cipherpilot2 fills | 425-449 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,576 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 688d |  meowinglion | 550+ | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,780 | +$155 +8.7% | 21 |
| 688d | niooon | 550+ | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$395 +20% | 23 |
| 688d | astromage | 450-474 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,938 | +$12 +0.6% | 20 |
| 688d | astromage | 425-449 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,518 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 689d | cipherpilot | 400-424 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,470 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 689d | cipherpilot | 375-399 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,051 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 690d | BobbyMan | 550+ | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $1,105 | +$667 +60% | 22 |
| 691d | cipherpilot2 fills | 350-374 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,920 | +$34 +0.4% | 20 |
| 691d | cipherpilot | 325-349 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,991 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 691d | cipherpilot | 300-324 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,455 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 691d | cipherpilot | <300 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,984 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 691d | shihabbb | <300 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,929 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 691d | shihabbb | <300 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,931 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 692d |  imp | <300 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,159 | +$69 +5.9% | 20 |
| 693d |  CavaSoTasty | 525-549 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | +$45 +4.2% | 20 |
| 693d | Itsme2 | <300 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | +$52 +4.2% | 20 |
| 693d | Alextwabc001 | <300 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$60 +5.3% | 20 |
Avatar3819 sharesThis is a market on predicting the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk between November 22 and November 29.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 475-499 means the market gives it about 100%.