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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United FC | 100% | +84 pts | +83 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Arsenal FC | 0% | −62 pts | −59 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Draw (Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC) | 0% | −22 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 265d | ValiBB | Arsenal FC | SellNo>99¢ | $5,122 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 265d |  FTX2.0 | Manchester United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,025 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | idr777 | Arsenal FC | SellNo>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | krumbiferkel | Arsenal FC | SellNo>99¢ | $2,541 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | Mr.Fujin | Arsenal FC | SellNo>99¢ | $1,294 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | Billietos | Manchester United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,037 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | Luccoss | Manchester United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $2,414 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d |  SpainWillBeChampion | Manchester United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $2,344 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | Monstrous-Vest | Manchester United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $28,097 | −$28 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | joosangyoo | Manchester United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $48,921 | −$49 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | WINSONS | Arsenal FC | SellNo>99¢ | $2,901 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | WINSONS | Manchester United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $4,552 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | Betola | Manchester United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,242 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | Bright-RunwayNew account | Manchester United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $20,069 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | Stingy-Meridian | Manchester United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $5,528 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | RushiTWT | Manchester United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $6,446 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | AstorYuen | Manchester United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $2,879 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 265d |  kaemari | Manchester United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $2,047 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d |  TheOnlyHuman | Arsenal FC | SellNo>99¢ | $99,900 | −$100 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | Unknown533 | Manchester United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $2,321 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | sushi1234 | Draw (Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC) | SellNo>99¢ | $2,637 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | Stormy-Sherbet | Arsenal FC | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | priyesh | Arsenal FC | SellNo>99¢ | $1,509 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | Trifling-SprinterNew account | Manchester United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,217 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | RaymondVan | Arsenal FC | SellNo>99¢ | $1,456 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 265d |  PinkPunks- | Manchester United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $2,012 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | Thin-Print | Arsenal FC | SellNo>99¢ | $3,263 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | noloanplz | Arsenal FC | SellNo>99¢ | $2,849 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | Pmoooo | Manchester United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,175 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | Tirdenchi | Arsenal FC | SellNo>99¢ | $63,301 | −$63 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | tyforinv | Manchester United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $5,876 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 265d |  Hakunamatatatata | Manchester United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $2,517 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | Aggie | Arsenal FC | SellNo>99¢ | $1,780 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | Exotic-MountainNew account | Manchester United FC | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $7,344 | −$1,456 −20% | — |
| 265d | hanfangshuo | Arsenal FC | SellNo>99¢ | $4,958 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | Aleks78 | Arsenal FC | SellNo>99¢ | $1,189 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | Bigboss81111 | Arsenal FC | SellNo>99¢ | $3,920 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | trickyfours | Arsenal FC | SellNo>99¢ | $1,589 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | ysr.deviation | Manchester United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $4,274 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | shiningjunk | Manchester United FC | SellYes>99¢ | $1,566 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | Lilybaeum | Draw (Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,543 | +$31 +2.0% | 4 |
| 265d |  0010001000001100 | Draw (Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,841 | +$58 +2.0% | 4 |
| 265d | n.maga3 fills | Manchester United FC | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $7,110 | +$1,890 +27% | 4 |
| 265d | Bright-RunwayNew account | Manchester United FC | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $19,246 | +$842 +4.4% | 6 |
| 265d | XINLU22 | Manchester United FC | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,335 | −$72 −3.1% | — |
| 265d | Hakunamatatatata | Manchester United FC | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,469 | +$50 +2.0% | 4 |
| 265d |  InAirdropWeTrust | Arsenal FC | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,109 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 265d | Qianqq | Arsenal FC | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,200 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 265d |  wowfarm | Arsenal FC | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,909 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 265d | RushiTWT | Manchester United FC | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,597 | +$52 +1.1% | 4 |
| 265d | feiniao88 | Arsenal FC | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 4 |
| 265d | Sport-FighterX | Draw (Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC) | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 265d |  Dreamwalker | Arsenal FC | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,523 | +$96 +1.0% | 4 |
| 265d | Aaaaaguess | Manchester United FC | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,311 | −$467 −20% | — |
| 265d | 0x27cdfbea6aacf09f0b4daab6cab1df865fed4d3 | Arsenal FC | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,126 | −$55 −1.8% | — |
| 265d | Unknown533 | Manchester United FC | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$323 +16% | 4 |
| 265d | kaemari | Manchester United FC | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,761 | +$288 +16% | 4 |
| 265d | Lhhahah | Manchester United FC | SellNo5¢ → 0¢ | $2,398 | +$2,398 +100% | — |
| 265d | swisstony6 fills | Arsenal FC | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $19,639 | +$8,714 +44% | 4 |
| 265d | Gustav0 | Manchester United FC | SellYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,554 | −$490 −32% | — |
This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Sunday, January 25, 2026 between Arsenal FC and Manchester United FC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Manchester United FC means the market gives it about 100%.