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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC) | 100% | +72 pts | +75 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Leeds United FC | 0% | −37 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Manchester United FC | 0% | −35 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 285d | ewr112 | Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 285d |  Dreamwalker | Manchester United FC | SellNo>99¢ | $3,121 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 285d | akalamgo | Manchester United FC | SellNo>99¢ | $4,475 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 285d | angiex | Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC) | SellYes>99¢ | $2,001 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 285d | dmitrii146 | Manchester United FC | SellNo>99¢ | $3,815 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 286d | 123abc | Manchester United FC | SellNo>99¢ | $3,190 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 286d | dupdup5 | Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC) | SellYes>99¢ | $6,470 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 286d |  EA-SY | Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,034 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 286d |  xiaohuangxiaohuang | Manchester United FC | SellNo>99¢ | $1,598 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 286d | Glass-Timpani | Manchester United FC | SellNo>99¢ | $1,212 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 286d |  23g3g232g | Manchester United FC | SellNo>99¢ | $4,282 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 286d | nz7 | Leeds United FC | SellNo>99¢ | $6,273 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 286d | Wolfhunter1 | Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,219 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 286d | bbaabaabababab | Leeds United FC | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,995 | −$150 −7.5% | — |
| 286d | swisstony19 fills | Manchester United FC | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $52,327 | +$25,782 +49% | 9 |
| 286d | Tommybuddy | Leeds United FC | SellYes14¢ → 0¢ | $1,356 | +$1,356 +100% | — |
| 286d | 23g3g232g | Manchester United FC | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $3,138 | +$1,003 +32% | 4 |
| 286d | bbaabaabababab | Leeds United FC | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,703 | +$442 +26% | 4 |
| 286d | xxSecretSaucexx | Leeds United FC | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$1,086 +22% | 4 |
| 286d | Glass-Timpani | Manchester United FC | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,138 | +$75 +6.6% | 4 |
| 286d |  RN1 | Leeds United FC | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $1,640 | −$1,640 −100% | 4 |
| 286d | Third-Industry | Manchester United FC | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,269 | −$1,269 −100% | 4 |
| 286d | dmitrii146 | Manchester United FC | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $4,309 | +$1,740 +40% | 4 |
| 286d | Loser97 | Manchester United FC | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 4 |
| 286d | 123abc | Manchester United FC | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,561 | +$840 +54% | 4 |
| 286d | Writhing-Hacksaw | Manchester United FC | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $1,310 | −$1,310 −100% | 4 |
| 286d | akalamgo | Manchester United FC | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$941 +47% | 4 |
| 286d | iloveabgs | Manchester United FC | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $1,038 | +$636 +61% | 4 |
| 286d | dupdup5 | Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC) | BuyYes31¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$4,477 +224% | 4 |
| 286d | dupdup5 | Leeds United FC | SellNo66¢ → 100¢ | $2,980 | −$1,520 −51% | — |
| 286d | Mikee12 | Leeds United FC | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $15,000 | +$6,428 +43% | 4 |
| 286d |  cuti | Manchester United FC | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | +$740 +59% | 4 |
| 286d |  fwed33 | Leeds United FC | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $1,073 | −$1,073 −100% | 4 |
| 286d | elkmonkey | Manchester United FC | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $2,336 | −$2,336 −100% | 14 |
| 286d | noloanplz | Leeds United FC | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $5,007 | −$5,007 −100% | 14 |
| 286d | eth10001 | Manchester United FC | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $9,923 | +$5,828 +59% | 14 |
| 286d | SeriouslySirius14 fills | Manchester United FC | BuyYes37¢ → 0¢ | $47,716 | −$47,716 −100% | 14 |
| 286d | Luka788 | Manchester United FC | BuyYes37¢ → 0¢ | $1,184 | −$1,184 −100% | 14 |
| 286d | elkmonkey | Leeds United FC | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $1,860 | −$1,860 −100% | 14 |
| 286d |  Simbaaaa | Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC) | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $14,147 | −$14,147 −100% | 13 |
| 286d | kamlot | Manchester United FC | SellNo63¢ → 100¢ | $1,599 | −$939 −59% | — |
| 286d | kamlot | Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC) | SellNo71¢ → 0¢ | $1,196 | +$1,196 +100% | — |
| 286d |  asdasdasdqe | Manchester United FC | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | +$576 +56% | 14 |
| 286d |  Wilson2 fills | Manchester United FC | BuyYes37¢ → 0¢ | $4,201 | −$4,201 −100% | 12 |
| 286d | arbandy | Leeds United FC | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $1,050 | −$1,050 −100% | 14 |
| 286d | zapo5 | Leeds United FC | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $1,050 | −$1,050 −100% | 14 |
| 286d | MrSparklySimpsons7 fills | Leeds United FC | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $52,882 | +$28,475 +54% | 14 |
| 286d | yiqifacaiya | Manchester United FC | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $6,400 | +$3,600 +56% | 14 |
| 286d | Drtu81777 | Manchester United FC | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,486 | +$836 +56% | 14 |
| 286d | 0x06e6…87e63 fills | Leeds United FC | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $6,982 | +$3,913 +56% | 12 |
| 286d | djood | Manchester United FC | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $2,150 | +$1,210 +56% | 14 |
| 286d | richerZ | Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC) | BuyNo73¢ → 0¢ | $1,375 | −$1,375 −100% | 13 |
| 286d | XVFlow2 fills | Leeds United FC | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $10,035 | +$5,520 +55% | 14 |
| 286d |  chatCCP | Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC) | BuyNo73¢ → 0¢ | $26,280 | −$26,280 −100% | 13 |
| 286d | RebornAthena | Manchester United FC | BuyYes36¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 14 |
| 286d | elkmonkey | Manchester United FC | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,134 | +$611 +54% | 14 |
| 286d | dupdup5 | Leeds United FC | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,891 | +$1,063 +56% | 14 |
| 286d | 0xb7511d7b0dcb75ffad0507cbac7223653d08915 | Manchester United FC | BuyYes37¢ → 0¢ | $2,775 | −$2,775 −100% | 14 |
| 286d | mmm52 fills | Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC) | BuyYes29¢ → 100¢ | $13,580 | +$33,371 +246% | 9 |
| 286d | mmm5 | Leeds United FC | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $9,400 | −$9,400 −100% | 14 |
Simbaaaa19,614 shares
00100010000011003,176 sharesThis event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Sunday, January 4, 2026 between Leeds United FC and Manchester United FC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC) means the market gives it about 100%.