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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United FC | 42% | — | −4 pts | 41¢ · 42¢ (1¢) | $1.08M | ended |
| Draw (Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC) | 30% | +3 pts | +5 pts | 29¢ · 30¢ (1¢) | $22.7K | ended |
| Aston Villa FC | 30% | −3 pts | — | 29¢ · 30¢ (1¢) | $463K | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32s | Flaznorp2 fills | Newcastle United FC | BuyNo69¢ → 59¢ | $4,438 | −$650 −15% | 4 |
| 34s | ferrariChampions2026 | Draw (Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC) | BuyYes24¢ → 30¢ | $5,892 | +$1,353 +23% | 24 |
| 2m |  LonnieHawkins | Aston Villa FC | SellYes53¢ → 30¢ | $1,679 | +$745 +44% | — |
| 2m | LonnieHawkins | Newcastle United FC | SellNo78¢ → 59¢ | $37,905 | +$9,493 +25% | — |
| 3m | LonnieHawkins | Newcastle United FC | BuyNo62¢ → 59¢ | $30,000 | −$1,589 −5.3% | 6 |
| 3m | LonnieHawkins | Aston Villa FC | BuyYes32¢ → 30¢ | $1,472 | −$118 −8.0% | 4 |
| 10m | Feisty-Mango-Blind | Newcastle United FC | BuyYes43¢ → 42¢ | $1,436 | −$60 −4.2% | 4 |
| 16m | Flaznorp3 fills | Aston Villa FC | BuyNo69¢ → 71¢ | $6,781 | +$158 +2.3% | 5 |
| 23m |  00100010000011002 fills | Newcastle United FC | SellNo58¢ → 59¢ | $2,817 | −$34 −1.2% | — |
| 28m | Fake-Suet | Aston Villa FC | BuyYes31¢ → 30¢ | $5,000 | −$242 −4.8% | 5 |
| 28m | xabidaking | Draw (Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC) | BuyYes26¢ → 30¢ | $1,912 | +$257 +13% | 11 |
| 30m | 0010001000001100 | Aston Villa FC | BuyNo70¢ → 71¢ | $2,800 | +$20 +0.7% | 4 |
| 39m |  CORGII | Newcastle United FC | BuyYes46¢ → 42¢ | $7,000 | −$685 −9.8% | 15 |
| 40m | BruceWayne77 | Aston Villa FC | BuyYes30¢ | $5,010 | −$84 −1.7% | 15 |
| 40m | raybanman7 fills | Newcastle United FC | BuyYes45¢ → 42¢ | $273,587 | −$20,403 −7.5% | 34 |
| 43m | 0xBadB9af986EE66437BD39E6cd3D3036CbbDc31a | Newcastle United FC | BuyNo56¢ → 59¢ | $1,680 | +$75 +4.5% | 14 |
| 1h | fajksfdjas | Aston Villa FC | BuyYes30¢ | $3,353 | −$56 −1.7% | 15 |
| 1h |  HONGKONGPEACH | Aston Villa FC | BuyYes30¢ | $4,832 | −$81 −1.7% | 15 |
| 1h | 0x8ba2…1650 | Aston Villa FC | BuyYes30¢ | $5,000 | −$83 −1.7% | 15 |
| 1h |  ComingBack | Newcastle United FC | BuyYes45¢ → 42¢ | $1,000 | −$78 −7.8% | 14 |
| 1h | 0xf6a2…8de6 | Newcastle United FC | BuyYes45¢ → 42¢ | $5,000 | −$389 −7.8% | 14 |
| 1h | Telawin | Newcastle United FC | BuyYes45¢ → 42¢ | $15,000 | −$1,167 −7.8% | 15 |
| 1h | LaarsY | Newcastle United FC | BuyYes43¢ → 42¢ | $5,503 | −$192 −3.5% | 14 |
| 1h |  VeryLucky8884 fills | Newcastle United FC | SellNo57¢ → 59¢ | $4,560 | −$120 −2.6% | — |
| 1h | UpTheBlues9 fills | Newcastle United FC | BuyYes43¢ → 42¢ | $104,180 | −$3,393 −3.3% | 22 |
| 1h | plonker2026 | Newcastle United FC | BuyYes43¢ → 42¢ | $21,500 | −$750 −3.5% | 16 |
| 1h | UpTheBlues2 fills | Aston Villa FC | BuyNo68¢ → 71¢ | $12,605 | +$397 +3.1% | 16 |
| 1h | Zzzz87 | Newcastle United FC | BuyYes43¢ → 42¢ | $2,502 | −$87 −3.5% | 14 |
| 2h | Bakerx | Aston Villa FC | BuyNo68¢ → 71¢ | $4,899 | +$180 +3.7% | 15 |
| 2h | raybanman | Aston Villa FC | BuyNo67¢ → 71¢ | $173,150 | +$9,045 +5.2% | 34 |
| 3h | whosbroking | Newcastle United FC | BuyYes41¢ → 42¢ | $1,000 | +$12 +1.2% | 14 |
| 3h | RJW1 | Aston Villa FC | BuyYes33¢ → 30¢ | $1,066 | −$113 −11% | 14 |
| 4h | UpTheBlues | Newcastle United FC | BuyNo58¢ → 59¢ | $2,149 | +$19 +0.9% | 14 |
| 10h |  us3913 fills | Aston Villa FC | BuyNo68¢ → 71¢ | $20,122 | +$740 +3.7% | 15 |
CORGII15,217 sharesThis event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 between Newcastle United FC and Aston Villa FC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 42¢ for Newcastle United FC means the market gives it about 42%.