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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >4500 | 100% | +65 pts | +27 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >4400 | 100% | +86 pts | +44 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >4600 | 100% | +98 pts | +64 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >4700 | 0% | −1 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >4200 | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >4000 | 100% | +6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >4800 | 0% | −1 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 421d | bboo | >4000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,061 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 421d | AZwater | >4000 | SellYes>99¢ | $10,989 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 421d | Woozyy | >4400 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,124 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 421d | rwo | >4700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,540 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 421d | aBeanCounter | >4500 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,051 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 421d | >4700 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,338 | +$162 +7.0% | 3 | |
| 421d | printa | >4700 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,680 | −$320 −6.8% | — |
| 421d | AZwater2 fills | >4800 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,721 | +$49 +0.7% | 2 |
| 421d | 0xa95bfdb5 fills | >4600 | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $9,382 | +$6,568 +70% | 5 |
| 421d | AZwater2 fills | >4500 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,962 | +$122 +2.0% | 2 |
| 421d | AZwater | >4400 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,786 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 421d | >4200 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,610 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 421d | 0xa95bfdb9 fills | >4700 | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $19,568 | +$4,452 +23% | 4 |
| 421d | Hashbrown | >4700 | SellNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,970 | −$759 −39% | — |
| 421d | yyhaa2213 fills | >4600 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $9,014 | +$1,680 +19% | 3 |
| 421d | >4000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,097 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 421d | >4600 | BuyNo39¢ → 0¢ | $15,259 | −$15,259 −100% | 10 | |
| 421d | yyhaa2213 fills | >4500 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $7,949 | +$592 +7.4% | 3 |
| 421d | printa9 fills | >4500 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $40,240 | +$4,760 +12% | 3 |
| 421d | NNGG | >4500 | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $3,767 | −$541 −14% | — |
| 421d | printa12 fills | >4700 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $48,005 | +$8,798 +18% | 2 |
| 421d | 0xa95bfdb13 fills | >4600 | BuyNo60¢ → 0¢ | $23,962 | −$23,962 −100% | 5 |
| 421d | AZwater | >4600 | SellNo41¢ → 0¢ | $2,070 | +$2,070 +100% | — |
| 421d | printa | >4600 | SellNo41¢ → 0¢ | $3,073 | +$3,073 +100% | — |
| 421d | 0xa95bfdb5 fills | >4400 | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $6,939 | +$8,396 +121% | 5 |
| 421d | dafa25 | >4000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,000 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 421d | yyhaa2213 fills | >4400 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $12,019 | +$828 +6.9% | 3 |
| 421d | printa3 fills | >4600 | BuyNo76¢ → 0¢ | $9,019 | −$9,019 −100% | 2 |
| 421d | the5 | >4600 | BuyNo69¢ → 0¢ | $4,253 | −$4,253 −100% | 5 |
| 421d | 0xa95bfdb8 fills | >4500 | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $13,538 | −$13,538 −100% | 5 |
| 421d | >4400 | BuyYes39¢ → 100¢ | $7,930 | +$12,503 +158% | 8 | |
| 421d | 0xa95bfdb17 fills | >4500 | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $32,891 | +$13,709 +42% | 4 |
| 421d | >4500 | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $12,949 | −$2,398 −19% | — | |
| 421d | printa3 fills | >4400 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $11,469 | +$1,378 +12% | 3 |
| 421d | printa3 fills | >4800 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $11,515 | +$1,515 +13% | 2 |
| 421d | the5 | >4500 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $4,253 | −$350 −8.2% | — |
| 421d | the5 | >4500 | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $2,310 | +$2,292 +99% | 5 |
| 421d | the5 | >4400 | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $2,308 | −$769 −33% | — |
| 421d | >4200 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,900 | −$100 −2.0% | — | |
| 421d | 0xa95bfdb6 fills | >4400 | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $10,765 | −$10,765 −100% | 3 |
| 421d | 0x34dc | >4400 | SellYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,480 | −$467 −32% | — |
| 421d | printa | >4400 | SellNo21¢ → 0¢ | $1,050 | +$1,050 +100% | — |
| 421d | >4500 | BuyYes18¢ → 100¢ | $1,343 | +$6,158 +459% | 6 | |
| 421d | printa | >4200 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,850 | +$150 +3.1% | 2 |
| 421d | printa3 fills | >4500 | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $10,158 | −$10,158 −100% | 2 |
| 421d | >4500 | SellNo92¢ → 0¢ | $2,751 | +$2,751 +100% | — | |
| 421d | 0xa95bfdb6 fills | >4200 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $12,399 | +$2,021 +16% | 3 |
| 421d | AZwater | >4500 | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $2,964 | −$2,964 −100% | 2 |
| 421d | printa | >4000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,488 | +$64 +2.6% | 2 |
| 421d | AZwater | >4600 | BuyNo>99¢ → 0¢ | $2,997 | −$2,997 −100% | 2 |
| 421d | AZwater3 fills | >4000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,269 | +$128 +2.0% | 2 |
| 421d | >4200 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $25,274 | +$6,733 +27% | 3 | |
| 421d | Suyoung | >4000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,189 | +$30 +2.6% | 2 |
| 421d | Suyoung | >4800 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,156 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 421d | DOWNbet2 fills | >4000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,935 | +$106 +1.8% | 2 |
| 421d | 0xd5f5…ea4e11 fills | >4000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $29,398 | +$804 +2.7% | 2 |
| 421d | Crowded-ThermometerNew account | >4500 | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $1,853 | −$1,853 −100% | 2 |
| 421d | Crowded-ThermometerNew account | >4600 | BuyNo>99¢ → 0¢ | $1,441 | −$1,441 −100% | 2 |
| 421d | 0xd5f5…ea4e4 fills | >4200 | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $23,177 | +$4,833 +21% | 3 |
| 421d | 0xd5f5…ea4e2 fills | >4200 | SellYes62¢ → 100¢ | $7,700 | −$4,800 −62% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for >4500 means the market gives it about 100%.