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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75d | Fitting-BirdbathNew account | Ethereum Up or Down on August 3? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,363 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 75d | vedaresearch.eth | Ethereum Up or Down on August 3? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $1,173 | +$175 +15% | 3 |
| 75d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 3? | BuyUp73¢ → 100¢ | $3,650 | +$1,350 +37% | 4 |
| 75d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on August 3? | BuyDown66¢ → 0¢ | $5,649 | −$5,649 −100% | 5 |
| 75d | Zzzz873 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on August 3? | BuyDown70¢ → 0¢ | $5,357 | −$5,357 −100% | 5 |
| 75d | fishcolor | Ethereum Up or Down on August 3? | BuyDown79¢ → 0¢ | $1,317 | −$1,317 −100% | 4 |
| 75d | vcbbchb | Ethereum Up or Down on August 3? | SellDown43¢ → 0¢ | $2,051 | +$2,051 +100% | — |
| 75d | vcbbchb | Ethereum Up or Down on August 3? | BuyDown27¢ → 0¢ | $1,265 | −$1,265 −100% | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 3 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 3 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.