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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78d | Incognitoo | Ethereum Up or Down on July 31? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$12 +1.1% | 2 |
| 78d | easyclap3 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 31? | BuyDown89¢ → 100¢ | $12,303 | +$1,481 +12% | 3 |
| 78d | Embellished-Cruise2 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 31? | BuyDown91¢ → 100¢ | $2,497 | +$247 +9.9% | 3 |
| 78d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 31? | BuyDown76¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$323 +32% | 4 |
| 78d | easyclap | Ethereum Up or Down on July 31? | BuyUp55¢ → 0¢ | $1,506 | −$1,506 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 31 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 31 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.