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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103d | gobblewobble13 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 6? | BuyUp88¢ → 100¢ | $26,038 | +$3,412 +13% | 3 |
| 103d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 6? | BuyUp73¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$372 +37% | 4 |
| 103d | IH2P2 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 6? | BuyUp74¢ → 100¢ | $3,001 | +$1,034 +34% | 4 |
| 103d | vedaresearch.eth | Ethereum Up or Down on July 6? | SellUp71¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | −$419 −41% | — |
| 103d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 6? | BuyDown88¢ → 0¢ | $5,472 | −$5,472 −100% | 3 |
| 103d | prop-y | Ethereum Up or Down on July 6? | BuyDown78¢ → 0¢ | $1,355 | −$1,355 −100% | 4 |
| 103d | gobblewobble9 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on July 6? | BuyDown80¢ → 0¢ | $14,801 | −$14,801 −100% | 4 |
| 103d |  HaileyWelch | Ethereum Up or Down on July 6? | BuyDown69¢ → 0¢ | $1,069 | −$1,069 −100% | 5 |
| 103d | fred4332 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 6? | SellUp58¢ → 100¢ | $1,927 | −$1,382 −72% | — |
| 103d | fred4332 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 6? | BuyUp53¢ → 100¢ | $1,753 | +$1,556 +89% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 6 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 6 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.