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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 222d |  LOL525 | Ethereum Up or Down on March 9? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,129 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 222d | ascacsa | Ethereum Up or Down on March 9? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $5,650 | +$69 +1.2% | 2 |
| 222d | IH2P2 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on March 9? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $3,240 | +$141 +4.3% | 2 |
| 222d |  coinman22 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on March 9? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $10,278 | +$881 +8.6% | 3 |
| 222d | phoku2 | Ethereum Up or Down on March 9? | SellDown37¢ → 0¢ | $1,149 | +$1,149 +100% | — |
| 223d | phoku2 | Ethereum Up or Down on March 9? | BuyDown45¢ → 0¢ | $1,398 | −$1,398 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Mar 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Mar 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.