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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Russell | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Max Verstappen | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lando Norris | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kimi Antonelli | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arvid Lindblad | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sergio Pérez | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Valtteri Bottas | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 224d | Zenhack | George Russell | SellYes>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 224d | SweetChariot | George Russell | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,656 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 224d | MrBeast-752 | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,063 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 224d |  RockLeee | George Russell | SellYes>99¢ | $1,060 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 224d | tcp2 | George Russell | SellYes>99¢ | $1,453 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 224d |  AvocadosFromMexico | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,030 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 224d | AvocadosFromMexico | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,442 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 224d | AvocadosFromMexico | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,344 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 224d | case11 | Lando Norris | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,728 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 224d | Indolent-Essence | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,259 | +$16 +0.7% | 4 |
| 224d |  CryptoLiu | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$105 +5.3% | 4 |
| 224d | tcp2 | Max Verstappen | SellNo>99¢ | $1,320 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 224d |  Rex416 | Max Verstappen | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,339 | +$21 +1.6% | 4 |
| 224d | AJM96 | Max Verstappen | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,833 | +$138 +7.5% | 4 |
| 224d |  norrisfan2 fills | George Russell | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $3,757 | −$3,757 −100% | 6 |
| 224d |  Nooserac | George Russell | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $2,750 | +$2,250 +82% | 6 |
| 224d | Ermann | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,243 | +$311 +25% | 4 |
DOLLAR-PRINTER283 sharesThis market will resolve according to the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 7, 2026 (ET). If the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Mar 14, 2026 (ET), this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for George Russell means the market gives it about 100%.