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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Russell | 100% | +35 pts | +89 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sergio Perez | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −7 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lando Norris | 0% | −5 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kimi Antonelli | 0% | −13 pts | −43 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Max Verstappen | 0% | −4 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Valtteri Bottas | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | −3 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | −4 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arvid Lindblad | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21d | jaytee158 | George Russell | SellYes>99¢ | $13,231 | −$27 −0.2% | — |
| 21d | Liverpool1 | George Russell | SellYes>99¢ | $1,473 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | Clawbangers | Kimi Antonelli | SellNo>99¢ | $1,680 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | shyu5000 | Kimi Antonelli | SellNo>99¢ | $8,260 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | Predictandbreathe | George Russell | SellYes>99¢ | $2,143 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 21d | lumetea | George Russell | SellYes>99¢ | $2,168 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | crumbl | George Russell | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,779 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 21d | crumbl2 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,434 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 21d | meropi | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,304 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 21d | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,008 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 21d | Predictandbreathe | George Russell | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,678 | +$322 +19% | 5 |
| 21d | meropi | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,324 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 21d | 0xspaghetti | George Russell | BuyNo29¢ → 0¢ | $1,399 | −$1,399 −100% | 6 |
| 21d | tsekinming01 | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,754 | +$110 +4.0% | 4 |
| 21d | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,760 | +$240 +6.4% | 4 | |
| 21d | Jest552 fills | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $9,400 | +$600 +6.4% | 4 |
| 21d | Pulpo94 | George Russell | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$441 +44% | 6 |
| 21d | dips. | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,197 | +$63 +5.3% | 4 |
| 21d | Tobias1909 | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,603 | +$198 +12% | 5 |
| 21d | mishipolis | George Russell | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$480 +47% | 6 |
| 21d | SplendidAmadeus | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,132 | +$226 +7.2% | 4 |
| 21d | jaytee1583 fills | George Russell | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $9,884 | +$4,689 +47% | 4 |
| 21d | 210213k120-jr210j12t563h113 fills | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $6,410 | +$561 +8.8% | 4 |
| 21d | Max Verstappen | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $8,343 | +$504 +6.0% | 4 | |
| 21d | pagliacci4 | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $6,768 | +$923 +14% | 4 |
| 21d | 0xspaghetti | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes14¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 4 |
| 21d | Isack Hadjar | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,671 | +$22 +1.3% | 4 | |
| 21d | Clawbangers | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,480 | +$202 +14% | 4 |
| 21d | shyu50002 fills | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,759 | +$513 +14% | 4 |
| 21d | X1024SCALPING | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,616 | −$1,616 −100% | 4 |
| 21d | usedtoscroll | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,529 | −$1,529 −100% | 4 |
| 21d | Duf1988 | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$136 +14% | 4 |
| 22d | Rentabar | George Russell | SellYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,556 | −$838 −54% | — |
| 22d | George Russell | SellYes59¢ → 100¢ | $1,826 | −$1,258 −69% | — | |
| 22d | dips. | Lando Norris | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$50 +4.9% | 4 |
| 22d | SunlineTicker2 fills | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,619 | +$354 +14% | 4 |
| 22d | George Russell | BuyNo78¢ → 0¢ | $1,181 | −$1,181 −100% | 4 | |
| 26d | mariabelo | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes44¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 26, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 3, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for George Russell means the market gives it about 100%.