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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimi Antonelli | 0% | −78 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 100% | +36 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| George Russell | 100% | +18 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lando Norris | 100% | +48 pts | +50 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −10 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Max Verstappen | 0% | −22 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | −4 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | −19 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Valtteri Bottas | 0% | −2 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | −7 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | 0 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | −2 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | −1 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | −1 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arvid Lindblad | 0% | −2 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | −2 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sergio Perez | 0% | −1 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | −2 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | +8 pts | −40 pts | — · 20¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 0% | −1 pts | −48 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | −2 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | −2 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125d |  fElon | Pierre Gasly | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,063 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 125d |  QuantumProphet | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes75¢ → 0¢ | $1,005 | −$1,005 −100% | 4 |
| 125d | 0F62 | George Russell | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $4,609 | +$692 +15% | 4 |
poshposh203 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Catalunya Grand Prix, scheduled for Jun 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the Catalunya Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Catalunya Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Kimi Antonelli means the market gives it about 0%.