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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sergio Perez | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lando Norris | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Max Verstappen | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Valtteri Bottas | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Russell | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Arvid Lindblad | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 216d |  laserjohnny | Lewis Hamilton | SellYes>99¢ | $1,929 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 216d | tphhh | George Russell | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,466 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 216d |  tomatosauce2 | Isack Hadjar | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,830 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 216d | tphhh | Lewis Hamilton | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,139 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 216d | tphhh | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,132 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 216d | tphhh | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,261 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 216d | HDGB | Gabriel Bortoleto | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,049 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 216d | tphhh | Max Verstappen | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,994 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 216d | Tipsterman | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,139 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 216d | XVFlow | Liam Lawson | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,662 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 216d | XVFlow | Nico Hulkenberg | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,554 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 216d | XVFlow | Carlos Sainz Jr. | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,228 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 216d | XVFlow | Gabriel Bortoleto | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,293 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 216d | XVFlow | Alexander Albon | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,243 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 217d | Fond-Lad | Fernando Alonso | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,233 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
wendypeekaboo100 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Chinese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the Chinese Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Chinese Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Oscar Piastri means the market gives it about 0%.