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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimi Antonelli | 100% | +80 pts | +67 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | −25 pts | −49 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | −45 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Max Verstappen | 100% | +73 pts | +80 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lando Norris | 0% | −21 pts | −68 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | −16 pts | −14 pts | — · 12¢ | — | ended |
| George Russell | 100% | +22 pts | +37 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −60 pts | −40 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | −3 pts | −38 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arvid Lindblad | 0% | −2 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | −1 pts | −33 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | −2 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | −2 pts | −47 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | 0 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | −2 pts | −25 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | 0 pts | −49 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Valtteri Bottas | 0% | +6 pts | −43 pts | — · 13¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sergio Perez | 0% | +5 pts | −1 pts | — · 11¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | −1 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41d | bet2earn | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes>99¢ | $4,353 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 41d | kodeoed | Pierre Gasly | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,496 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 41d |  toasun | Pierre Gasly | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$304 +15% | 4 |
| 41d | jaytee158 | Lewis Hamilton | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $1,279 | −$1,279 −100% | 4 |
| 44d | Gaditima | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,479 | −$1,479 −100% | 4 |
Betito507309 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the Italian Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Italian Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Kimi Antonelli means the market gives it about 100%.