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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimi Antonelli | 100% | +60 pts | +68 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sergio Perez | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −12 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lando Norris | 0% | −11 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Max Verstappen | 0% | −27 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Valtteri Bottas | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | −3 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | −4 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Russell | 0% | −5 pts | −39 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arvid Lindblad | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 166d |  DCABC3 fills | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes>99¢ | $3,840 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | ycscwin | George Russell | SellNo>99¢ | $1,074 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | matchamission | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,687 | +$14 +0.1% | 4 |
| 166d | shcc | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,911 | +$15 +0.1% | 4 |
| 166d | Obey21622 fills | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $7,282 | −$350 −4.8% | — |
| 166d |  scout | Max Verstappen | SellNo>99¢ | $1,452 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | Thunderous-Wagon2 fills | Max Verstappen | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,744 | −$409 −11% | — |
| 166d | e5c0eeEF61a5E65eC63Fa744D51F3b | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 166d | Farmslayer | Lando Norris | SellNo>99¢ | $1,312 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 166d | lumetea | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes>99¢ | $1,130 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 166d | ethlayermaxim | Max Verstappen | SellNo>99¢ | $1,038 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | formula-19 | Lando Norris | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | −$16 −1.5% | — |
| 166d |  CryptoLiu | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,773 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 166d | OrwellFactory2 fills | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes>99¢ | $22,958 | +$42 +0.2% | 4 |
| 166d |  AsTiTutNotPadu | Lewis Hamilton | SellNo>99¢ | $1,553 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | mishipolis | Charles Leclerc | SellNo>99¢ | $1,062 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | tsekinming01 | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,770 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 166d | mishipolis | George Russell | SellNo>99¢ | $1,466 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | char15 | Lando Norris | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,228 | +$78 +6.4% | 4 |
| 166d | mishipolis | Max Verstappen | SellNo>99¢ | $4,380 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | tsekinming01 | Max Verstappen | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,718 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 166d | case11 | Max Verstappen | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,842 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 166d |  mioki2 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,529 | +$20 +0.1% | 4 |
| 166d | Obey2162 | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $4,780 | +$720 +15% | 4 |
| 166d | case11 | George Russell | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,248 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 166d | BrillanteVirtuoso | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$191 +14% | 4 |
| 166d | FlytrapMuse | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,450 | −$297 −20% | — |
| 166d |  Simbaaaa3 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,500 | +$142 +2.6% | 4 |
| 166d | SaylorMoon3 fills | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $7,462 | +$2,829 +38% | 4 |
| 166d | cigarettes2 fills | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $3,640 | +$1,860 +51% | 4 |
| 166d | cigarettes3 fills | Lando Norris | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $4,675 | +$1,025 +22% | 4 |
| 166d |  AvocadosFromMexico | Max Verstappen | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,695 | +$37 +1.4% | 4 |
| 166d | Thunderous-Wagon2 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$57 +1.4% | 4 |
| 166d | cigarettes | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $1,190 | −$1,190 −100% | 4 |
| 166d | neutralwave23 | Lando Norris | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $1,011 | −$1,011 −100% | 4 |
| 166d | mwenya | Max Verstappen | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,154 | +$188 +16% | 4 |
| 166d | AvocadosFromMexico | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $1,925 | −$1,925 −100% | 4 |
| 166d | neutralwave23 | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes31¢ → 100¢ | $1,017 | +$2,258 +222% | 4 |
| 166d | KD7makingmoves | Kimi Antonelli | SellNo73¢ → 0¢ | $4,293 | +$4,293 +100% | — |
| 166d | GGruter | Lando Norris | SellYes55¢ → 0¢ | $2,446 | +$2,446 +100% | — |
| 166d | sportbetss | Lando Norris | BuyYes64¢ → 0¢ | $1,698 | −$1,698 −100% | 4 |
| 166d | neutralwave23 | Charles Leclerc | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | −$96 −9.3% | — |
| 166d | franklineth | Max Verstappen | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$54 +3.9% | 4 |
| 166d | SaylorMoon2 fills | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $6,492 | +$2,944 +45% | 4 |
| 166d | AvocadosFromMexico2 fills | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $5,549 | +$1,216 +22% | 4 |
| 166d | AsTiTutNotPadu2 fills | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,741 | +$61 +2.2% | 4 |
| 166d | Fitting-Consequence2 fills | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $8,984 | −$8,984 −100% | 4 |
| 166d | KD7makingmoves | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $3,800 | −$3,800 −100% | 4 |
| 166d | DCABC | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes35¢ → 100¢ | $2,715 | +$5,042 +186% | 4 |
| 167d | Juampikk | Max Verstappen | SellYes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,066 | +$1,066 +100% | — |
| 167d | Tipsterman | Fernando Alonso | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,473 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 167d |  StudyPrediction | Fernando Alonso | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,465 | +$10 +0.4% | 4 |
| 167d | sportbetss | Max Verstappen | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,420 | −$1,420 −100% | 4 |
| 167d | r2r2r2r2 | Max Verstappen | SellNo72¢ → 100¢ | $2,746 | −$1,090 −40% | — |
| 167d | r2r2r2r2 | Max Verstappen | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $2,800 | +$1,036 +37% | 4 |
| 167d | Snoorrason | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | +$178 +16% | 4 |
| 167d | Snoorrason | Max Verstappen | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,527 | +$510 +33% | 4 |
| 167d | AJM96 | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo55¢ → 0¢ | $3,317 | −$3,317 −100% | 4 |
| 167d | Stormy-Drain | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,385 | +$115 +8.3% | 4 |
| 168d |  F-22Raptor | Lando Norris | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$332 +18% | 4 |
LaPoutreDu062,181 sharesThis is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 3, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Kimi Antonelli means the market gives it about 100%.