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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 100% | +36 pts | +66 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 20h |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 20h |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 20h |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 20h |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 20h |
| Sergio Perez | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 20h |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −13 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 20h |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 20h |
| Lando Norris | 0% | −2 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 20h |
| Kimi Antonelli | 0% | −9 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 20h |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 20h |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 20h |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 20h |
| Valtteri Bottas | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 20h |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | −13 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 20h |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 20h |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 20h |
| George Russell | 0% | −1 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 20h |
| Arvid Lindblad | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 20h |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | 0 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 20h |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 20h |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 20h |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 20h |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 20h |
| Driver A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 20h |
| Driver B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 20h |
| Driver C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 20h |
| Driver D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 20h |
| Driver E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 20h |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | Lewis Hamilton | SellNo>99¢ | $5,113 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 6d | neutralwave232 fills | Max Verstappen | SellYes>99¢ | $3,558 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 6d | Hongweiqian | Max Verstappen | SellYes>99¢ | $5,023 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 6d | OrwellFactory | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,593 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 6d | SplendidAmadeus | Lewis Hamilton | SellNo>99¢ | $2,780 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 6d | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo>99¢ | $217,380 | +$218 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 6d | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,322 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 6d | crumbl | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 6d | crumbl | Max Verstappen | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,458 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 6d | piagopilva | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,890 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 6d | BISTURI2 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,547 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 6d | momo-0916 | Max Verstappen | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,157 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 6d | Clawbangers | Lando Norris | SellNo>99¢ | $2,538 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 6d | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,702 | +$33 +0.6% | 4 | |
| 6d | Lando Norris | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,242 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 6d | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,660 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 6d | awrg | Max Verstappen | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$14 +1.0% | 4 |
| 6d | Boz13 | Max Verstappen | BuyNo12¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 6d | SplendidAmadeus | Charles Leclerc | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | −$155 −15% | — |
| 6d | hqcake03 | Max Verstappen | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$124 +4.1% | 4 |
| 6d | Meowie2k | Max Verstappen | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,499 | +$206 +14% | 5 |
| 6d | SplendidAmadeus | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,222 | +$222 +5.3% | 4 |
| 6d | Substantial-Service | Lewis Hamilton | BuyYes8¢ → 0¢ | $16,894 | −$16,894 −100% | 6 |
| 6d | 1827575782 | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $6,233 | +$586 +9.4% | 5 |
| 6d | dips. | Kimi Antonelli | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,189 | −$86 −7.2% | — |
| 6d | dips.2 fills | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,645 | +$192 +5.3% | 4 |
| 6d | SplendidAmadeus | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,588 | +$217 +14% | 4 |
| 6d | neutralwave23 | Max Verstappen | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,399 | +$787 +56% | 4 |
| 6d | d008 | Lando Norris | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$35 +1.7% | 4 |
| 6d | 0x4a0b…7a11 | Lando Norris | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$178 +1.8% | 4 |
| 6d | Valuable-Cofactor | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$234 +16% | 4 |
| 6d | 0F623 fills | Lando Norris | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $21,042 | +$313 +1.5% | 4 |
| 6d | Gaditima | Max Verstappen | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | +$680 +52% | 4 |
| 6d | Clawbangers | Lando Norris | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$41 +1.6% | 4 |
| 6d | cigarettes2 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $2,620 | +$1,380 +53% | 4 |
| 6d | fluffypenguin | Max Verstappen | BuyNo37¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 7d | bromberg | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | +$117 +9.9% | 4 |
| 7d | Hongweiqian | Max Verstappen | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$2,528 +101% | 4 |
| 7d | 0F623 fills | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $4,504 | +$611 +14% | 4 |
| 8d | 0F622 fills | Isack Hadjar | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,969 | +$92 +2.3% | 4 |
| 8d | LimitOrderLarry | Lando Norris | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $6,440 | +$962 +15% | 4 |
| 9d | bromberg3 fills | George Russell | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,554 | +$199 +3.0% | 4 |
| 10d | pookyisback | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,461 | +$436 +30% | 4 |
| 11d | bromberg | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,174 | +$88 +7.5% | 4 |
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 18, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Max Verstappen means the market gives it about 100%.