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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $5M | 0% | −2 pts | −83 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| $4M | 0% | −12 pts | −90 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| $7M | 0% | −1 pts | −73 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| $10M | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| $15M | 0% | 0 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| $20M | 0% | 0 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| $3M | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| $2M | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 256d | EricaXBT3 fills | $4M | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,578 | +$32 +0.2% | 2 |
| 256d | EricaXBT3 fills | $5M | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,982 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 256d | EricaXBT2 fills | $7M | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,511 | +$20 +0.1% | 2 |
| 256d | C03B2 fills | $7M | SellNo>99¢ | $10,104 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 257d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | $5M | SellNo>99¢ | $5,001 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 257d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | $15M | SellNo>99¢ | $10,000 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 257d | Gruesome-Veneer | $4M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,285 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 257d | Gruesome-Veneer | $5M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,554 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 257d |  cr1mean2 fills | $4M | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,089 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 257d | cr1mean | $10M | SellNo>99¢ | $3,278 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 257d | C03B | $4M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,296 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 257d | kevin-airdrop | $10M | SellNo>99¢ | $2,630 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 257d | kevin-airdrop | $7M | SellNo>99¢ | $5,520 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 257d | kevin-airdrop | $5M | SellNo>99¢ | $4,690 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 257d | C03B | $7M | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,522 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 257d | C03B2 fills | $5M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,256 | +$82 +0.8% | 2 |
| 257d | rusgreat | $4M | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,765 | −$48 −1.0% | — |
| 257d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | $5M | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 257d |  Remoon | $7M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,043 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 257d | kevin-airdrop | $4M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,678 | +$27 +1.0% | 2 |
| 257d | rusgreat | $4M | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,707 | +$67 +3.9% | 2 |
| 257d | EricaXBT | $10M | BuyNo>99¢ | $30,897 | +$31 +0.1% | 2 |
| 257d | EricaXBT | $15M | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,887 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 257d | tianxia123 | $4M | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | −$125 −11% | — |
| 257d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | $15M | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,000 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 257d | EricaXBT | $20M | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,187 | +$20 +0.1% | 2 |
| 257d | kevin-airdrop | $10M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,160 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 257d | kevin-airdrop2 fills | $7M | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,774 | +$21 +0.4% | 2 |
| 257d | kevin-airdrop | $5M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,130 | +$39 +1.2% | 2 |
| 257d | cr1mean | $10M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,086 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 257d | tianxia123 | $5M | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,312 | −$64 −4.9% | — |
| 257d | C03B | $5M | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,894 | −$67 −3.5% | — |
| 257d | rusgreat | $5M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,219 | +$25 +2.0% | 2 |
| 258d | bozotys2 fills | $10M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,312 | +$97 +1.3% | 2 |
| 258d | bozotys6 fills | $7M | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $11,237 | +$431 +3.8% | 2 |
| 258d | bozotys | $5M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,675 | +$69 +1.9% | 2 |
| 258d | Wise-Exhibition4 fills | $5M | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $6,006 | +$768 +13% | 3 |
| 258d |  leleko2k | $10M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$13 +0.7% | 2 |
| 258d | Wise-Exhibition2 fills | $7M | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $3,647 | +$1,123 +31% | 3 |
| 259d | Wise-Exhibition | $4M | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | +$1,335 +70% | 4 |
| 259d | Ryan1365 | $4M | BuyYes75¢ → 0¢ | $1,425 | −$1,425 −100% | 2 |
| 259d | mexicola | $10M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | +$19 +1.8% | 2 |
| 260d | nghr5yr | $10M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,340 | +$27 +2.0% | 2 |
| 260d | Kaleidoscopic-FigurineNew account | $10M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,338 | +$29 +2.1% | 2 |
| 260d | fgd4rt | $10M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,334 | +$33 +2.5% | 2 |
| 260d | Grubby-OptimalNew account | $10M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,334 | +$33 +2.5% | 2 |
| 260d | jimmyhasballs | $7M | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$49 +3.3% | 2 |
| 260d | cr1mean | $7M | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,673 | −$24 −1.4% | — |
| 260d | mexicola | $5M | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,906 | +$864 +45% | 2 |
| 261d | C03B | $3M | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,141 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 261d | stepakssss | $3M | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,459 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 261d | Dungak0610 | $5M | SellYes55¢ → 0¢ | $1,626 | +$1,626 +100% | — |
| 262d | Dungak0610 | $4M | BuyYes88¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 2 |
| 262d | Dungak0610 | $5M | BuyYes68¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 2 |
| 262d | 0x15ce9A512F0d4475ABb6DbA71ae702E2Dc1703 | $5M | SellYes70¢ → 0¢ | $2,383 | +$2,383 +100% | — |
| 262d | Immaculate-Osprey4 fills | $5M | BuyYes81¢ → 0¢ | $6,781 | −$6,781 −100% | 2 |
| 262d | tostitos | $5M | BuyYes78¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 2 |
| 262d | Immaculate-Osprey6 fills | $7M | BuyYes67¢ → 0¢ | $9,945 | −$9,945 −100% | 3 |
| 263d | 0x15ce9A512F0d4475ABb6DbA71ae702E2Dc1703 | $7M | BuyYes58¢ → 0¢ | $1,591 | −$1,591 −100% | 2 |
| 263d | Wise-ExhibitionNew account | $20M | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,444 | +$336 +7.6% | 3 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if total commitments for the Fabric raise on Kaito exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is the official raise page available at https://kaito.ai/capital-launchpad/73ca8145db584058aaa4?projectName=Fabric If the final commitment amount cannot be verified by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if relevant information becomes permanently unavailable within the market timeframe, this market will resolve to “No.”
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $5M means the market gives it about 0%.