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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Williams | 100% | +87 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Alpine | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Aston Martin | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ferrari | 0% | −45 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Haas | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kick Sauber | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| McLaren | 0% | −14 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Racing Bulls | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Red Bull Racing | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Delayed/Canceled | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Mercedes | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 596d | wewwew | Red Bull Racing | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,356 | +$14 +1.0% | 4 |
| 596d | ndelta | Red Bull Racing | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,149 | +$12 +1.0% | 4 |
| 596d | Boko | Ferrari | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,583 | +$16 +1.0% | 4 |
| 596d | Snoorrason | Ferrari | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | +$15 +1.0% | 4 |
| 596d |  AgricultureSecretary | Williams | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $6,623 | +$2,388 +36% | 4 |
| 601d | Xyvien | Haas | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $63,854 | +$515 +0.8% | 4 |
| 601d | Solvian | Racing Bulls | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $52,127 | +$315 +0.6% | 4 |
| 615d | 56768 | Racing Bulls | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $48,608 | −$392 −0.8% | — |
| 615d | 56768 | Racing Bulls | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $48,706 | +$294 +0.6% | 4 |
This is a market on which driver will achieve the fastest lap during F1 winter testing.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Williams means the market gives it about 100%.