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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 100% | +60 pts | +59 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ecuador | 0% | −20 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Germany | 0% | −39 pts | −41 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 113d | ccn023390 | Draw | SellYes>99¢ | $5,406 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 113d | Auckermanln | Germany | SellNo>99¢ | $1,140 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 113d | skazzka | Germany | SellNo>99¢ | $2,326 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 113d | Draw | SellYes>99¢ | $2,935 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 113d | Xuan1958 | Germany | SellNo>99¢ | $1,579 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 113d | trumankt | Draw | SellYes>99¢ | $1,611 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 113d | Spotless-Clause | Draw | SellYes>99¢ | $1,036 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 113d | ABC888888 | Draw | SellYes>99¢ | $1,571 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 113d | suntori | Draw | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,300 | −$23 −1.0% | — |
| 113d | Mind.The.Gap2 fills | Germany | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,879 | +$152 +1.2% | 4 |
| 113d | Mind.The.Gap | Draw | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,876 | +$69 +1.0% | 4 |
| 113d | Draw | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,685 | +$145 +3.1% | 4 | |
| 113d | 0xbf2342fds234423d | Draw | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$51 +1.0% | 4 |
| 113d | swisstony7 fills | Germany | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $11,005 | +$4,100 +37% | 4 |
| 113d | Draw | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | +$156 +15% | 4 | |
| 113d | swisstony4 fills | Ecuador | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $10,654 | +$1,741 +16% | 4 |
| 113d | ccn023390 | Draw | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $3,367 | +$2,044 +61% | 4 |
| 113d | swisstony | Draw | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $2,620 | +$1,976 +75% | 4 |
| 113d | Ecuador | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,485 | +$495 +20% | 4 | |
| 113d | swisstony2 fills | Draw | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $2,426 | −$2,426 −100% | 14 |
| 113d | Germany | BuyYes79¢ → 0¢ | $2,266 | −$2,266 −100% | 4 | |
| 113d | hggh25345 | Germany | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,199 | +$799 +67% | 14 |
| 113d | suntori5 fills | Germany | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $16,113 | −$16,113 −100% | 12 |
| 113d | Germany | SellYes44¢ → 0¢ | $2,717 | +$2,717 +100% | — | |
| 113d | purplegatto4 fills | Germany | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $7,459 | −$7,459 −100% | 12 |
| 113d | rollobravado | Ecuador | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$377 +19% | 9 |
| 113d | Spiteful-Department-ArticleNew account | Draw | BuyYes38¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$4,836 +161% | 23 |
| 113d | omnibus-076daa3 fills | Germany | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $10,422 | +$9,069 +87% | 14 |
| 113d | Sanasana | Germany | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | +$1,171 +89% | 14 |
| 113d | Gerroepapi | Germany | BuyNo54¢ → 100¢ | $5,772 | +$4,916 +85% | 14 |
| 114d | ss0855 | Germany | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $1,824 | +$1,683 +92% | 12 |
| 114d | Prelode | Germany | BuyYes49¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 12 |
| 114d | Precious-Periodical-Concentrate | Germany | BuyYes49¢ → 0¢ | $1,470 | −$1,470 −100% | 18 |
| 114d | CopyChan2 fills | Draw | BuyYes38¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$6,625 +166% | 12 |
| 114d | Bulky-Departure | Germany | SellYes48¢ → 0¢ | $2,894 | +$2,894 +100% | — |
| 114d | Bulky-Departure | Germany | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 12 |
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Ecuador and Germany, scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Draw means the market gives it about 100%.