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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spain | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Argentina | 0% | −21 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89d | Engsty | Draw | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 89d | Flawed-Trance | Draw | SellYes>99¢ | $1,121 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 89d | suntori3 fills | Draw | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $10,338 | −$673 −6.5% | — |
| 89d |  Chrisyevil | Draw | SellYes>99¢ | $5,612 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 89d | Grounded-Fertilizer-Pence | Draw | SellYes>99¢ | $2,234 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 89d | alex051997 | Draw | SellYes>99¢ | $9,730 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 89d | xabidaking | Draw | SellYes>99¢ | $1,262 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 89d | Shimi1234 | Draw | SellYes>99¢ | $4,560 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 89d |  alpheclabs | Draw | SellYes>99¢ | $2,622 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 89d | Howardwoo0106 | Draw | SellYes>99¢ | $1,472 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 89d | Mastify | Draw | SellYes>99¢ | $1,180 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 89d | Majestic-Cappelletti | Draw | SellYes>99¢ | $1,024 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 89d | Ru386 | Draw | SellYes>99¢ | $1,281 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 89d | Measly-Adapter | Draw | SellYes>99¢ | $1,205 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 89d | meropi | Argentina | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,361 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 89d | Paul973973 | Draw | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$10 +1.0% | 4 |
| 89d | ManCangGangGanDaDanGan | Draw | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,474 | +$91 +2.0% | 4 |
| 89d | swisstony43 fills | Spain | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $131,378 | +$46,480 +35% | 8 |
| 89d | swisstony9 fills | Draw | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $28,491 | +$7,922 +28% | 5 |
| 89d | suntori | Draw | BuyNo36¢ → 0¢ | $19,048 | −$19,048 −100% | 4 |
| 89d | Bon12 | Draw | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,857 | −$184 −9.9% | — |
| 89d | Chrisyevil | Draw | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$618 +12% | 4 |
| 89d | anon.1980.123 | Argentina | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,385 | +$141 +4.2% | 4 |
| 89d | Mastify | Draw | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$131 +12% | 4 |
| 89d | swisstony21 fills | Argentina | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $77,899 | +$16,091 +21% | 10 |
| 89d | Vacant-Landscape | Spain | BuyYes14¢ → 0¢ | $1,050 | −$1,050 −100% | 4 |
| 89d | chchj | Draw | SellYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,479 | −$456 −31% | — |
| 89d | Raz66666 | Argentina | BuyYes10¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 89d | b3908 | Argentina | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,780 | +$220 +12% | 4 |
| 89d | chchj | Draw | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,502 | +$707 +47% | 4 |
| 89d | GoalLineGhost4 fills | Spain | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $7,024 | +$2,973 +42% | 14 |
| 90d | suntori2 fills | Draw | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $2,427 | +$2,087 +86% | 14 |
| 90d | Grounded-Fertilizer-Pence | Draw | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$886 +66% | 7 |
| 90d | mmeeesssiiii | Spain | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,690 | −$1,690 −100% | 4 |
| 90d |  RN1 | Spain | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,359 | +$732 +54% | 4 |
| 90d | Raz66666 | Spain | SellYes31¢ → 0¢ | $1,345 | +$1,345 +100% | — |
| 90d | swisstony | Draw | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $3,925 | −$3,925 −100% | 4 |
| 90d | Chipiona | Spain | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $1,788 | −$1,788 −100% | 4 |
| 90d | Melody626 | Draw | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $2,459 | +$2,459 +100% | 4 |
| 90d | NM-P | Draw | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $1,461 | −$1,461 −100% | 14 |
| 90d |  mooseborzoi | Draw | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $8,499 | −$8,499 −100% | 14 |
| 90d | mooseborzoi | Spain | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $3,559 | −$3,559 −100% | 14 |
| 90d |  VeryLucky8889 fills | Draw | SellNo51¢ → 0¢ | $9,180 | +$9,180 +100% | — |
| 90d | VeryLucky8882 fills | Argentina | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $3,158 | −$789 −25% | — |
| 90d | skrtblock | Spain | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 14 |
| 90d | thebananapeeler | Spain | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 14 |
| 90d | CandleHammerDrums | Spain | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $11,862 | −$11,862 −100% | 14 |
| 90d | VeryLucky8882 fills | Argentina | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $5,860 | +$1,465 +25% | 11 |
| 90d | Shimi1234 | Draw | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $2,236 | +$2,328 +104% | 14 |
| 90d | bvvallseMarket | Draw | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$1,051 +104% | 14 |
| 90d | 5719563 | Argentina | BuyYes21¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 14 |
| 90d | Pythia | Draw | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,561 +104% | 14 |
| 90d | ghost-cat | Spain | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $5,276 | +$2,483 +47% | 14 |
| 90d | VeryLucky8884 fills | Draw | BuyNo53¢ → 0¢ | $9,188 | −$9,188 −100% | 12 |
| 90d | slimjoe | Argentina | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$372 +27% | 11 |
| 90d | suntori2 fills | Argentina | BuyYes22¢ → 0¢ | $8,728 | −$8,728 −100% | 14 |
| 90d | dtrippy | Spain | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $1,600 | −$1,600 −100% | 14 |
| 90d | Woozy-Thread2 fills | Spain | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $2,510 | −$2,510 −100% | 14 |
| 90d | Present-Revelation-Supper | Spain | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 20 |
| 90d | xuanaaak | Spain | SellYes31¢ → 0¢ | $1,550 | +$1,550 +100% | — |
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Argentina, scheduled for July 19, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Draw means the market gives it about 100%.