Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $10m - $13m | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| < $7m | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $7m - $10m | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $13m+ | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 627d |  hegtw | $10m - $13m | SellYes>99¢ | $1,465 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 627d |  matachod | $10m - $13m | SellYes>99¢ | $1,798 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 627d |  Dropper | $10m - $13m | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,907 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 627d | peso | $10m - $13m | SellYes>99¢ | $3,315 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 627d |  AgricultureSecretary | $10m - $13m | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,188 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 628d |  Negeto5 fills | $10m - $13m | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $6,671 | +$346 +5.2% | 5 |
| 628d | 😏😏😏 | $10m - $13m | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,295 | −$22 −1.0% | — |
| 628d | aviato2 fills | < $7m | SellNo>99¢ | $4,695 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 628d | wokerjoesleeper | $13m+ | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,470 | +$30 +2.0% | 4 |
| 629d | hegtw | $10m - $13m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,452 | +$15 +1.0% | 4 |
| 629d | 😏😏😏 | $10m - $13m | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,509 | +$74 +3.0% | 4 |
| 629d |  VegemiteLover22 fills | $10m - $13m | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,453 | −$451 −18% | — |
| 629d | PollyMarchev | $7m - $10m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,198 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 629d |  enderone3 fills | $13m+ | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $10,213 | −$2,160 −21% | — |
| 629d | wokerjoesleeper2 fills | $7m - $10m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,018 | +$22 +0.7% | 4 |
| 629d | wokerjoesleeper | < $7m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,738 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 630d | VegemiteLover22 fills | $10m - $13m | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,150 | +$275 +13% | 6 |
| 630d | aviato | $13m+ | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,850 | +$150 +5.3% | 5 |
| 630d |  Wickier | $13m+ | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $9,017 | +$1,045 +12% | 6 |
| 630d | Gallo | $10m - $13m | SellYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,204 | −$796 −66% | — |
| 630d | aviato | < $7m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,960 | +$40 +1.0% | 4 |
| 630d | jinsun... | < $7m | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,387 | +$113 +1.5% | 4 |
| 630d | jinsun... | $13m+ | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,736 | −$158 −5.8% | — |
| 631d | Negeto2 fills | < $7m | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,033 | +$324 +8.0% | 5 |
| 632d |  0x906BAB777064DDBb6230530A56C9B4c752e1fD3 | < $7m | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $1,268 | −$1,268 −100% | 6 |
| 632d | Wickier | < $7m | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,021 | −$1,021 −100% | 6 |
| 632d |  dududududu | < $7m | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | +$1,136 +100% | 6 |
| 632d | enderone | $13m+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | +$15 +1.0% | 4 |
| 633d | MakerOne | $13m+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 633d | Wickier | $10m - $13m | BuyNo88¢ → 0¢ | $1,841 | −$1,841 −100% | 5 |
| 633d | VegemiteLover2 | < $7m | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,020 +51% | 6 |
| 634d |  GUHHH | $13m+ | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,112 | +$46 +4.2% | 4 |
TimeTraveler9,982 shares
Miki777013 sharesThis market will resolve according to how much “Flight Risk”' (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” tab on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Flight-Risk-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (January 24 - 26) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by February 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $10m - $13m means the market gives it about 100%.