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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +2 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 403d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | French confidence vote fails? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,251 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 403d |  adonpoli | French confidence vote fails? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,969 | +$61 +1.2% | 10 |
| 403d |  Burnmoneyuser | French confidence vote fails? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,440 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 403d | 0xaf17…d849 | French confidence vote fails? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,184 | −$25 −2.1% | — |
| 403d | pantomime | French confidence vote fails? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,088 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 403d | horiz0n | French confidence vote fails? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $86,723 | +$1,054 +1.2% | 10 |
| 403d | Abdoulay | French confidence vote fails? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,890 | +$35 +1.2% | 10 |
| 403d | OLOTH2 fills | French confidence vote fails? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,224 | +$37 +1.1% | 10 |
| 407d | Back-Restaurant2 fills | French confidence vote fails? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,295 | +$111 +2.1% | 10 |
| 414d | aff3 | French confidence vote fails? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,905 | −$137 −7.2% | — |
| 415d |  0x12345 | French confidence vote fails? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,690 | −$106 −6.3% | — |
| 415d | aff3 | French confidence vote fails? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,844 | +$113 +6.1% | 10 |
French Prime Minister Francois Bayrou a confidence vote, scheduled for September 8, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://edition.cnn.com/2025/08/25/europe/francois-bayrou-french-confidence-vote-intl This market will resolve to "Yes" if such a confidence vote is held in France's parliament, and that vote fails to pass. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the confidence vote is rescheduled to any point up until September 22, this market will remain open until the vote occurs. If the vote is rescheduled outside that timeframe, is cancelled, or otherwise does not occur by September 22, 2025, 11:59 PM GMT, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.