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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.28-1.30 | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <1.22 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1.22-1.24 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1.25-1.27 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >1.30 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 645d | professorx | 1.28-1.30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,783 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 645d | longtern | 1.28-1.30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,203 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 645d | VvVv | >1.30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,992 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 645d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly7 fills | 1.28-1.30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $52,203 | +$784 +1.5% | 4 |
| 645d |  aenews22 fills | >1.30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,906 | +$108 +1.4% | 4 |
| 645d | aenews26 fills | 1.28-1.30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $53,878 | +$740 +1.4% | 4 |
| 646d |  trumpetplayer | >1.30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,968 | +$28 +0.7% | 4 |
| 647d | cigarettes6 fills | >1.30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $23,101 | +$279 +1.2% | 4 |
| 647d | cigarettes10 fills | 1.25-1.27 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $26,570 | +$142 +0.5% | 4 |
| 647d |  sorcerer.116 fills | 1.28-1.30 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $13,347 | +$244 +1.8% | 4 |
| 648d | Nowhere-Man | >1.30 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,128 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 |
| 651d | ExhaustedBoyBilly3 fills | >1.30 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $14,171 | +$1,610 +11% | 4 |
| 651d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | 1.25-1.27 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,438 | +$13 +0.2% | 4 |
| 652d |  Strider-12 fills | 1.28-1.30 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $7,856 | −$241 −3.1% | — |
| 653d | cigarettes6 fills | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,003 | +$18 +0.1% | 4 |
| 653d | cigarettes4 fills | <1.22 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,258 | +$22 +0.3% | 4 |
| 659d |  wataprofi | 1.22-1.24 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,614 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 659d | coolcoolteng | 1.22-1.24 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,014 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 661d | coolcoolteng | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,016 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 661d | 02qni | 1.22-1.24 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,527 | −$11 −0.2% | — |
| 661d | 02qni | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,555 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | amayr | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,516 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | damondwight | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,541 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | searcherelijah | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,541 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | EDWINs | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,550 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | 0jg8z | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,539 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | yf932 | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,558 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | markgodwin | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,530 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | falconsa | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,559 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | tdrtnh | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,559 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | VALLEYs | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,549 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | wzalwr | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,531 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | Beryls | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,547 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | kerryimagine | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,547 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | FarmerJust | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,546 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | ulwuh | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,528 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | gladysefrain | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,555 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | znxn | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,549 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | GilesGavin | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,547 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | tavr | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,530 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | i549f | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,546 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | wgdds | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,539 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | KendallGavin | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,526 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | hfmjt | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,531 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | cunningdonna | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,560 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | UnitedLyndon | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,560 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | famouss | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,557 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | ethanael-711 | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,546 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | stus | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,564 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | gkmkl | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,548 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | vacq | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,566 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | p3q9t | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,559 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | WillaWanda | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,568 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | sed2e | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,550 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | mrnsl | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,575 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | EdwinStan | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,561 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | nwlug | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,579 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | tbljv | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,579 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | Kingss | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,575 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 661d | gdhq | 1.22-1.24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,560 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
Ceethereal450 sharesThis is a negrisk market group on the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 1.28-1.30 means the market gives it about 100%.