Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wagner Moura – The Secret Agent | 100% | +29 pts | +29 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Michael B. Jordan – Sinners | 0% | −24 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Leonardo DiCaprio – One Battle After Another | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jeremy Allen White – Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dwayne Johnson – The Smashing Machine | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Paul Mescal – Hamnet | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oscar Isaac – Frankenstein | 0% | −4 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Daniel Day-Lewis – Anemone | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ethan Hawke – Blue Moon | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Colin Farrell – Ballad of a Small Player | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lee Byung-hun – No Other Choice | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joel Edgerton – Train Dreams | 0% | −3 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Russell Crowe – Nuremberg | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Matthew McConaughey – The Lost Bus | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rami Malek – Nuremberg | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 278d | copy65 | Wagner Moura – The Secret Agent | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,270 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 278d | pilorget | Jeremy Allen White – Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,119 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 280d | bh56uyxcvtr4 | Dwayne Johnson – The Smashing Machine | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,485 | +$20 +0.8% | 4 |
| 280d | dfst35463246 | Dwayne Johnson – The Smashing Machine | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,482 | +$20 +0.8% | 4 |
| 280d | df543y6236tsdg | Dwayne Johnson – The Smashing Machine | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,485 | +$20 +0.8% | 4 |
| 281d | j8hd | Jeremy Allen White – Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,042 | −$62 −6.0% | — |
| 281d | sdtw46t24y | Jeremy Allen White – Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,488 | +$10 +0.4% | 4 |
| 281d | sdf45y624sdg | Jeremy Allen White – Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,482 | +$10 +0.4% | 4 |
| 281d | bsdtgw4624376 | Jeremy Allen White – Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere | BuyNo100¢ | $2,486 | +$12 +0.5% | 4 |
| 281d | sdgtw4y6342672 | Jeremy Allen White – Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere | BuyNo100¢ | $2,480 | +$12 +0.5% | 4 |
| 281d | j8hd | Jeremy Allen White – Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,100 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 281d | sgr4y5ywfesadf3rqw | Jeremy Allen White – Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,660 | +$10 +0.6% | 4 |
| 281d | fdsg54y6qa36 | Jeremy Allen White – Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,656 | +$10 +0.6% | 4 |
| 281d | h5e7hetyui | Jeremy Allen White – Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,651 | +$10 +0.6% | 4 |
| 281d | dfhe46uy3562q | Jeremy Allen White – Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,660 | +$10 +0.6% | 4 |
| 281d | 346y3w5g3w45t24 | Jeremy Allen White – Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,656 | +$10 +0.6% | 4 |
| 281d | sdgy456y2452 | Jeremy Allen White – Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,651 | +$10 +0.6% | 4 |
| 282d | adrt4w57gfh | Dwayne Johnson – The Smashing Machine | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,663 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 282d | CSFTG4W575 | Dwayne Johnson – The Smashing Machine | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,652 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 282d | f34y6qa3rgha | Dwayne Johnson – The Smashing Machine | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,647 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 282d | fdnhrsath35qy | Dwayne Johnson – The Smashing Machine | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,647 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 282d | fdsahgas5y35 | Dwayne Johnson – The Smashing Machine | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,652 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 282d | zcfx3wataw3t | Dwayne Johnson – The Smashing Machine | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,663 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 283d | ADSFG65UWQ4U | Oscar Isaac – Frankenstein | BuyNo100¢ | $1,492 | +$7 +0.5% | 20 |
| 283d | sfdyh4w5s7w4 | Oscar Isaac – Frankenstein | BuyNo100¢ | $1,485 | +$7 +0.5% | 20 |
| 283d | fq3t2436be3 | Oscar Isaac – Frankenstein | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,476 | +$9 +0.6% | 20 |
| 283d | jh57jrghw354yh | Oscar Isaac – Frankenstein | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,486 | +$9 +0.6% | 20 |
| 283d | n769g3jn65jqw | Oscar Isaac – Frankenstein | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,492 | +$11 +0.7% | 20 |
| 283d | bqw352bn347 | Oscar Isaac – Frankenstein | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,482 | +$10 +0.7% | 20 |
| 283d | fsf43gdfbdf6584 | Oscar Isaac – Frankenstein | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,233 | +$16 +0.7% | 20 |
| 310d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Matthew McConaughey – The Lost Bus | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,615 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 310d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Rami Malek – Nuremberg | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,422 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 310d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Russell Crowe – Nuremberg | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,224 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 310d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Colin Farrell – Ballad of a Small Player | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,162 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 310d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Daniel Day-Lewis – Anemone | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,759 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 310d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Paul Mescal – Hamnet | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,434 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 310d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Ethan Hawke – Blue Moon | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,283 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA). For the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 8, 2025, and the ceremony for January 11, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed person who wins Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed person whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the Golden Globe Awards and the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Wagner Moura – The Secret Agent means the market gives it about 100%.