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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 28 | 100% | +32 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 31 | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 596d | 8396239287 | February 28 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,631 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 596d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,114 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 596d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | February 28 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,523 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 597d | alice_shinoji | February 28 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | −$21 −1.6% | — |
| 597d | SweetChariot | February 28 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,241 | +$27 +2.2% | 21 |
| 597d |  KimJonEn | March 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,625 | +$27 +1.0% | 20 |
| 597d | 8396239287 | February 28 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,087 | +$110 +5.3% | 21 |
| 597d | Carla | February 28 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,189 | +$82 +6.9% | 22 |
| 599d | mexer | February 28 | BuyNo88¢ → 0¢ | $1,170 | −$1,170 −100% | 21 |
| 604d |  Parz1vaI | February 28 | SellNo87¢ → 0¢ | $1,213 | +$1,213 +100% | — |
| 605d | Parz1vaI | February 28 | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $2,003 | +$901 +45% | 20 |
| 610d | f4b14n | March 31 | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $2,581 | +$709 +27% | 20 |
| 610d |  punishedgoon2 fills | February 28 | BuyNo87¢ → 0¢ | $2,743 | −$2,743 −100% | 20 |
This is a market on the anticipated release date of GPT 4.5.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for February 28 means the market gives it about 100%.
