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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −3 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 381d | Raptorr | Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,362 | +$46 +3.4% | 20 |
| 382d | hitjnn214 | Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,157 | +$43 +3.7% | 20 |
| 382d | Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,998 | +$164 +8.2% | 20 | |
| 382d | lowrisk2 | Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,882 | +$60 +3.2% | 20 |
| 384d | kosmichesky | Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$45 +4.5% | 21 |
| 388d | WW.Jackson | Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30? | SellNo66¢ → 100¢ | $1,543 | −$785 −51% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is arrested or detained by law enforcement between September 2, 2025, and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.