Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24°C | 100% | +92 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 21°C or below | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 22°C | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 23°C | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25°C | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 26°C | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 27°C | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 28°C | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 29°C | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 30°C | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 31°C or higher | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 163d | Haobao | 24°C | SellYes>99¢ | $1,116 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 164d |  CreamCream1215 | 24°C | SellYes>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | Hocus | 24°C | SellYes>99¢ | $1,747 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | qqDAHuo | 26°C | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,429 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 164d |  WeatherHK | 24°C | SellYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,825 | −$798 −44% | — |
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 24°C means the market gives it about 100%.