Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.6% | 0% | 0 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4.5% | 0% | 0 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4.8% | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 5.0% | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 5.2% | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 5.5% | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 6.0% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 5.7% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 535d | 0xB16B00B5 | 5.7% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,249 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 535d | 0xB16B00B5 | 6.0% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,520 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 539d |  wowfarm | 5.7% | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,204 | +$10 +0.3% | 4 |
| 539d | wowfarm | 6.0% | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,863 | +$16 +0.4% | 4 |
| 545d | Thalric | 4.5% | SellNo66¢ → 100¢ | $19,212 | −$9,986 −52% | — |
| 545d | Dravion | 4.5% | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $9,903 | −$9,903 −100% | 11 |
| 547d | Orlenis | 4.5% | SellYes37¢ → 0¢ | $10,960 | +$10,960 +100% | — |
| 547d | Brethos | 4.5% | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $18,810 | +$10,812 +57% | 4 |
| 548d | Qindrel | 4.6% | SellYes27¢ → 0¢ | $13,288 | +$13,288 +100% | — |
| 548d | Lythian | 4.6% | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $36,418 | +$12,795 +35% | 4 |
| 548d |  wllstrt | 4.8% | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,283 | +$182 +14% | 4 |
| 548d |  GayPride | 5.0% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,911 | +$41 +2.1% | 4 |
| 549d | Vexlith | 4.6% | SellYes51¢ → 0¢ | $10,869 | +$10,869 +100% | — |
| 549d | Vexlith | 4.6% | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $10,656 | −$10,656 −100% | 4 |
| 550d | Deyvric | 4.8% | SellYes34¢ → 0¢ | $9,528 | +$9,528 +100% | — |
| 550d | Brivian | 4.8% | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $18,215 | +$9,808 +54% | 4 |
| 553d | commeowder | 5.5% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,295 | +$20 +1.6% | 4 |
| 555d | commeowder | 5.7% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | +$21 +2.0% | 4 |
TimeTraveler1,537 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between April 9 and April 30, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 4.6% means the market gives it about 0%.