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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 min or more | 100% | +43 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <8 min | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 8-10 min | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 10-12 min | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 12-14 min | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 14-16 min | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 16-18 min | 0% | −16 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 18-20 min | 0% | −18 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This is a market on predicting the duration of Trump's inaugural address.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 20 min or more means the market gives it about 100%.