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Polymarket · Tech & ScienceClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20-25k | 100% | +11 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <15k | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 15-20k | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25-30k | 0% | −8 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 30-35k | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 35-40k | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40k+ | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 644d |  Slowroasted | 20-25k | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,267 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 644d |  🍝👹2 fills | 25-30k | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,343 | +$7 +0.3% | 20 |
| 644d | 🍝👹 | 20-25k | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,297 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 644d | 3r3rsdfs2 fills | 25-30k | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,300 | +$38 +1.7% | 20 |
| 644d | 3r3rsdfs | 20-25k | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,191 | +$12 +0.5% | 20 |
| 644d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | 40k+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,613 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 645d |  starbuck02 | 15-20k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,371 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 645d |  risk-manager | 15-20k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,385 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 645d | Slowroasted2 fills | 40k+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,496 | +$12 +0.3% | 20 |
| 645d |  Dropper2 fills | 15-20k | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,543 | +$17 +0.1% | 20 |
| 645d | longtern | 15-20k | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,669 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 645d | rpo | 15-20k | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,035 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 645d | risk-manager | 15-20k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,283 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 645d |  Wloczega | 20-25k | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $3,172 | +$451 +14% | 24 |
| 645d | Wloczega | 25-30k | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,603 | +$350 +22% | 26 |
| 645d | Vnborisov | 15-20k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$24 +0.6% | 20 |
| 645d |  ARudeEgg | 30-35k | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,505 | +$35 +2.4% | 21 |
| 645d | idkwhoiam2 | 15-20k | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$33 +3.3% | 21 |
| 645d |  DancingonMarshmellos | 15-20k | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | +$48 +4.4% | 21 |
| 645d |  balablaa | 40k+ | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,598 | −$12 −0.8% | — |
| 645d | 🍝👹 | 15-20k | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,488 | +$33 +2.2% | 21 |
| 645d | asfhaksfj;aslkdjfa | 15-20k | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | −$118 −11% | — |
| 646d |  KimJonEn | 40k+ | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | +$60 +3.1% | 21 |
| 646d | Wloczega | 40k+ | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $1,536 | +$1,242 +81% | 25 |
| 646d | asfhaksfj;aslkdjfa | 15-20k | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,712 | +$51 +1.9% | 20 |
| 646d | starbuck022 fills | 15-20k | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,172 | +$91 +2.9% | 20 |
| 646d | CreamyFilling | 15-20k | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,139 | +$23 +2.0% | 20 |
| 646d | starbuck02 | <15k | SellNo>99¢ | $2,992 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 646d | Slowroasted | <15k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,059 | +$41 +1.0% | 20 |
| 646d | starbuck02 | <15k | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,328 | +$48 +2.0% | 20 |
This is a market on the expected acreage burned by the Palisades fire by Friday.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 20-25k means the market gives it about 100%.