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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25-29 | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <10 | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 10-14 | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 15-19 | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20-24 | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 30-34 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 35-39 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 632d | drac0nian | 25-29 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,602 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 632d | Pastel-Dozen | 25-29 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,554 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 632d | VvVv | 30-34 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,835 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 632d | VvVv2 fills | 25-29 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,693 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 632d |  Dropper | 25-29 | BuyYes>99¢ | $29,376 | +$29 +0.1% | 4 |
| 632d |  🍝👹2 fills | 25-29 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,740 | −$124 −1.6% | — |
| 632d | drac0nian2 fills | 25-29 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,600 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 632d |  Bertapotamous | 40+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,001 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 632d | MakerOne2 fills | 25-29 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,388 | +$15 +0.3% | 4 |
| 632d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe33 fills | 40+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $42,856 | +$76 +0.2% | 4 |
| 632d | wokerjoesleeper3 fills | 40+ | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,937 | +$104 +1.7% | 4 |
| 632d | 🍝👹 | 25-29 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,936 | +$28 +0.7% | 4 |
| 632d | LawrenceKL | 25-29 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,486 | +$10 +0.7% | 4 |
| 632d |  robustassistant | 40+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,342 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 632d |  Slowroasted2 fills | 40+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,210 | +$11 +0.3% | 4 |
| 632d |  slurpslurpslurp2 fills | 25-29 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $28,938 | +$199 +0.7% | 4 |
| 632d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | 25-29 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $36,437 | −$623 −1.7% | — |
| 633d | Neoss | 40+ | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,705 | −$25 −0.9% | — |
| 633d | Niu13 | 40+ | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,462 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 633d |  MotherTheresa15 fills | 40+ | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $60,263 | +$11,690 +19% | 4 |
| 633d |  Emptiness. | 25-29 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,398 | −$15 −1.1% | — |
| 633d | Emptiness. | 25-29 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,371 | +$11 +0.8% | 4 |
| 633d |  CallmeEuphoria | 40+ | SellNo100¢ | $6,145 | −$31 −0.5% | — |
| 633d |  ButterBoyBilly | 25-29 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,530 | +$130 +1.5% | 4 |
| 633d | dovissmart | 25-29 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,502 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 633d |  UMAFish | 40+ | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,429 | −$13 −0.9% | — |
| 633d | Mausch | 25-29 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,340 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 633d | AZwater | 30-34 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,396 | +$45 +0.7% | 4 |
| 633d | Asskickinhew | 40+ | SellNo>99¢ | $1,059 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 633d | moshito | 40+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,737 | +$9 +0.5% | 4 |
| 633d |  Eridpnc2 fills | 40+ | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,360 | −$563 −13% | — |
| 633d |  dududududu2 fills | 40+ | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,979 | −$60 −2.0% | — |
| 633d | SaylorMoon3 fills | 40+ | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,092 | −$125 −1.0% | — |
| 634d | CallmeEuphoria | 40+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,107 | +$69 +1.1% | 4 |
| 634d | Predictandbreathe | 25-29 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,031 | −$139 −6.8% | — |
| 634d | atai | 20-24 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 634d | KayFlock | 40+ | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,086 | −$123 −1.7% | — |
| 634d | Zimbrrul | 40+ | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,439 | −$47 −1.9% | — |
| 634d |  Eroe | 40+ | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,950 | −$38 −1.9% | — |
| 634d | MAGA.MUSK | 20-24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,296 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 634d |  mr.ozi2 fills | 40+ | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $7,572 | +$1,428 +19% | 4 |
| 634d | 🍝👹7 fills | 40+ | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $29,224 | −$3,940 −13% | — |
| 634d | rpo | 10-14 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,211 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 634d | longtern | 10-14 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,349 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 634d | 🍝👹6 fills | 40+ | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $20,486 | +$1,986 +9.7% | 4 |
| 634d | 🍝👹 | 30-34 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,976 | +$24 +1.2% | 4 |
| 634d | MotherTheresa | 35-39 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,887 | +$20 +1.1% | 4 |
| 634d | atai | <10 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 634d | Eridpnc | 25-29 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,485 | +$137 +5.5% | 4 |
| 634d | ExhaustedBoyBilly3 fills | 20-24 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,548 | +$49 +0.9% | 4 |
| 634d | sandcat | 25-29 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $5,149 | −$448 −8.7% | — |
| 634d |  FrankA | 25-29 | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,450 | −$107 −7.4% | — |
| 634d | 🍝👹 | 20-24 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,075 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 634d | OriginalGeezer2 fills | 40+ | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,306 | +$51 +2.2% | 4 |
| 634d | wokerjoesleeper2 fills | 30-34 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,996 | +$78 +1.9% | 4 |
| 634d | wokerjoesleeper2 fills | 20-24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,070 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 634d | wokerjoesleeper2 fills | 35-39 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,066 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 634d | fj409wjfw0j | 40+ | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $63,000 | +$1,303 +2.1% | 4 |
| 634d | sandcat | 25-29 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,315 | +$282 +5.3% | 4 |
| 634d | Asskickinhew | 40+ | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$39 +3.8% | 4 |
Fartard1,703 sharesThis is a market on the number of Executive Orders that Trump will issue on his first day in office.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 25-29 means the market gives it about 100%.