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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >250k | 100% | +97 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <100k | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-150k | 0% | −42 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 150-200k | 0% | −34 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 200-250k | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 743d | VvVv | >250k | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,188 | +$70 +3.2% | 10 |
| 743d | VvVv | <100k | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,318 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 743d |  AgricultureSecretary | <100k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,487 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 743d | Grotesque-Carotene | <100k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,891 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 743d |  MotherTeresa | >250k | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,348 | +$105 +1.0% | 10 |
| 743d | AgricultureSecretary | >250k | BuyNo81¢ → 0¢ | $1,203 | −$1,203 −100% | 10 |
| 745d | panasmrs | >250k | BuyNo97¢ → 0¢ | $1,827 | −$1,827 −100% | 11 |
| 746d | Jocobe104 | >250k | BuyNo97¢ → 0¢ | $1,182 | −$1,182 −100% | 10 |
| 746d | Grotesque-Carotene2 fills | <100k | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,515 | +$521 +21% | 11 |
| 746d | Grotesque-Carotene | 200-250k | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,663 | +$151 +9.1% | 11 |
| 748d | mocap | >250k | BuyNo97¢ → 0¢ | $1,837 | −$1,837 −100% | 10 |
| 748d | mocap | 200-250k | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,705 | +$189 +11% | 11 |
| 748d | mocap | 150-200k | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,402 | +$492 +35% | 12 |
| 748d | mocap | <100k | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,496 | +$398 +27% | 11 |
| 751d | 0xfe91…70ff | 100-150k | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $1,657 | +$973 +59% | 10 |
This is a market on predicting the number of jobs added in September.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for >250k means the market gives it about 100%.