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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25-27 | 100% | +41 pts | +77 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <25 | 0% | −13 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 28-30 | 0% | −67 pts | −57 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 31-33 | 0% | −2 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 34-36 | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 37+ | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
Elections for the autonomous community of Aragon’s unicameral legislature (Cortes) are scheduled for February 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Popular (PP) in the Cortes of Aragon as a result of this election. Any regional branch of Partido Popular will be considered to be the same as Partido Popular. If the results of this election are not definitively known by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 25-27 means the market gives it about 100%.