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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤21 | 100% | +1 pts | +45 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 22–24 | 0% | 0 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25–27 | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ≥28 | 0% | — | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 348d | cigarettes | 22–24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,818 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 348d | wokerjoesleeper | 25–27 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,371 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 348d | cigarettes | 25–27 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,818 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 348d |  TeemuPukki2 fills | ≤21 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,848 | +$13 +0.1% | 10 |
| 348d | rated | 25–27 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,051 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 348d | rated | 22–24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,051 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 351d |  intelmarketmaker2 fills | ≤21 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,163 | +$5 +0.2% | 10 |
| 352d | intelmarketmaker | 25–27 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,046 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
Cookedtan132 sharesThe ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are expected to be scheduled soon. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Christian Democratic Appeal (CDA) in the House of Representatives as a result of this election. If voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Christian Democratic Appeal (CDA). This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ≤21 means the market gives it about 100%.