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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 100% | +6 pts | +22 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ≤11 | 0% | −24 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 13 | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 14 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 15 | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 16 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 17 or more | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 186d | onenightstands | 13 | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | +$254 +22% | 20 |
| 190d | LisaBoyer5810 | 14 | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,315 | +$462 +35% | 20 |
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 12 means the market gives it about 100%.