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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74-76m | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <68m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68-70m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70-72m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72-74m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76-78m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78-80m | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80-82m | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82-84m | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84-86m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86-88m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88m+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 668d | 74-76m | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,295 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 668d | 74-76m | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,778 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 668d | Ordon2 fills | 74-76m | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,056 | +$7 +0.2% | 10 |
| 668d | 74-76m | SellYes>99¢ | $2,884 | −$9 −0.3% | — | |
| 668d | 74-76m | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,889 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 668d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | 74-76m | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,728 | +$8 +0.1% | 10 |
| 676d | 74-76m | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,922 | +$13 +0.2% | 10 | |
| 681d | cigarettes | 76-78m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,618 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 681d | cigarettes | 70-72m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,618 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 688d | 70-72m | SellNo>99¢ | $2,796 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 702d | 70-72m | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,825 | +$6 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 705d | VvVv | 70-72m | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,222 | +$25 +2.0% | 10 |
| 710d | 88m+ | BuyYes90¢ → 0¢ | $1,355 | −$1,355 −100% | 10 | |
| 714d | gandalf | 88m+ | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,335 | +$116 +8.7% | 11 |
| 714d | Folletin | 88m+ | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,554 | +$154 +9.9% | 11 |
This is a market on predicting the number of votes Kamala Harris will receive in the upcoming election.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 74-76m means the market gives it about 100%.