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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2.25M–$2.5M | 100% | +82 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <$2.0M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $2.0M–$2.25M | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $2.5M–$2.75M | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $2.75M–$3.0M | 0% | −15 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $3.0M–$3.25M | 0% | −13 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $3.25M–$3.5M | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $3.5M+ | 0% | −13 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 299d |  12figureg3 fills | <$2.0M | SellNo>99¢ | $6,194 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 302d |  probability | <$2.0M | SellNo>99¢ | $2,002 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 304d | foxymojo | <$2.0M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,000 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 304d |  UwO | $2.25M–$2.5M | SellYes>99¢ | $7,618 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 304d | hollow811 | $2.25M–$2.5M | SellYes>99¢ | $5,984 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 304d |  PredictionYogi | $2.5M–$2.75M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,637 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 304d | PredictionYogi | $2.25M–$2.5M | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,314 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 304d | UwO | $2.25M–$2.5M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 304d | hollow811 | $2.25M–$2.5M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,928 | +$62 +1.0% | 4 |
| 304d |  arjennnnn | $2.75M–$3.0M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,436 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 304d | arjennnnn2 fills | $3.0M–$3.25M | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,092 | +$32 +0.2% | 4 |
| 304d | arjennnnn | <$2.0M | SellNo>99¢ | $3,947 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 304d | UwO | $3.5M+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,260 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 304d |  Snow-White | $3.5M+ | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,863 | −$96 −1.2% | — |
| 304d | foxymojo | $3.5M+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,100 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 305d |  shiepapito | <$2.0M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,319 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 305d | pivBiv | $2.0M–$2.25M | SellNo>99¢ | $2,667 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 305d | pivBiv | <$2.0M | SellNo>99¢ | $2,696 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 305d | check12345 | $3.5M+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,496 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 305d | Snow-White4 fills | $3.5M+ | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $31,163 | +$1,028 +3.3% | 4 |
| 305d | arjennnnn | <$2.0M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,947 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 305d | LBZone | $2.0M–$2.25M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,254 | +$9 +0.4% | 4 |
| 305d | LBZone4 fills | <$2.0M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,280 | +$181 +1.5% | 4 |
| 305d |  SaturnStormCube | <$2.0M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,728 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 305d | shiepapito | <$2.0M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 305d | 0x4206…0922 | <$2.0M | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,011 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 305d | Lvcanalha | <$2.0M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,818 | +$133 +2.3% | 5 |
whazapito936 shares12figureg315 shares
flow-trader-at-optiver306 shares
FreeCityIndividual164 sharesOn December 14, a donation campaign was started for an Australian man who tackled one of the Bondi Beach attackers (see: https://x.com/BillAckman/status/2000333304864874509) This market will resolve according to the amount of money the Bondi Beach Hero's GoFundMe campaign (https://www.gofundme.com/f/zbcjn-support-the-hero-who-disarmed-a-bondi-attacker) raises by December 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be information from the relevant GoFundMe page. If the campaign ends or otherwise becomes permanently unavailable before resolution time, this market will resolve according to the last number published prior.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $2.25M–$2.5M means the market gives it about 100%.