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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1B | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| $100M | 0% | −1 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| $500M | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| $40M | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 359d |  cruzzzz4 fills | $100M | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,975 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 359d | froguser | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,074 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 359d |  winner123 | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,340 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | LILDON | $500M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,024 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 360d | JerryJones42 | $40M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,018 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 360d | xiouxiou | $100M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,497 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 360d | deepmouse | $1B | SellNo>99¢ | $2,735 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 360d | jakubosss | $100M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,059 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 360d | bettormaximus | $40M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,001 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 360d | Piair | $40M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,509 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 360d |  llzl9d9ujfurhuer3 | $40M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,233 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | Simis | $40M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 361d |  titoupost | $1B | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 361d | Piair | $40M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$11 +0.7% | 2 |
| 361d | whoknowss | $500M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,191 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 361d | vvela | $100M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,300 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 361d | franklineth | $1B | SellNo>99¢ | $2,316 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 361d | Abdoulay | $100M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,789 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 361d | LILDOLLAZ | $100M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,138 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 361d | titoupost | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 361d | KashKing | $100M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,037 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 361d | HITCH | $100M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,107 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 361d | SlayerX | $100M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,069 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 361d | ChangingLife | $100M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 361d | elpredictoooor | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,319 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 361d |  DonSpyro | $100M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,007 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 361d | LILDON | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,024 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 361d | winner123 | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,778 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 361d | TREND | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,557 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 361d | TREND | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,425 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 |
| 361d |  BobTheDevourer2 fills | $40M | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,891 | +$349 +9.0% | 2 |
| 361d |  krabich2 fills | $100M | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,463 | +$157 +6.4% | 2 |
| 362d |  realtimy | $500M | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,271 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 362d | whoknowss | $500M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | +$10 +0.8% | 2 |
| 363d | deepmouse | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,732 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 363d | ethlayermaxim | $500M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,879 | +$18 +1.0% | 2 |
| 363d | franklineth | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,315 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 363d | 0x4d1572ea399cfcb0a4b25b364df2c5ba68697e18 | $100M | BuyYes21¢ → 0¢ | $2,700 | −$2,700 −100% | 8 |
| 365d | ethlayermaxim | $1B | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,404 | −$55 −1.2% | — |
| 366d | ethlayermaxim | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,450 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 367d |  LeDonk00 | $1B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,990 | +$11 +0.6% | 2 |
| 369d |  Tuku | $1B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
erdi61 shares
EmmanuelQuimby5 shares
DeborahStrong1 shares
CashBoyle1 shares
VivianReade1 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperswap's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperswap (https://hyperswap.exchange/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $1B means the market gives it about 0%.