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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 30 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 31 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301d |  twe2nty | December 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 |
| 307d | Helior1993 | December 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,061 | +$12 +1.1% | 4 |
| 340d | JuniorB | November 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,432 | +$22 +1.5% | 4 |
randomWalkingShrimp1,062 shares
TimeTraveler300 shares
Swissbet288 shares
sadrax666267 shares
wylzub220 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel is officially banned from participating in the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement of a qualifying ban within the specified timeframe will suffice, regardless of when it takes effect or whether it is later revoked. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) and Eurovision; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for November 30 means the market gives it about 0%.