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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 654d | Superjet3 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo>99¢ | $6,831 | −$13 −0.2% | — |
| 654d |  pirateshere | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,063 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 654d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $52,785 | +$87 +0.2% | 20 |
| 654d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,980 | +$20 +0.2% | 20 |
| 654d |  yns | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,374 | +$9 +0.2% | 20 |
| 654d | qooqoo5552 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,010 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 655d | kenbl4 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,302 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 655d | Chosenonee | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,254 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 656d |  Molek | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,630 | −$38 −0.6% | — |
| 656d |  FATMAN | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,153 | −$7 −0.6% | — |
| 656d | Aluftan | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,911 | −$29 −1.0% | — |
| 656d |  BuyingWinners | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,338 | −$23 −1.0% | — |
| 656d |  Geez-Jimbo | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,523 | −$14 −0.9% | — |
| 656d | warUkr | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,244 | −$11 −0.9% | — |
| 656d | LOIJHGIYJ3456789 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | −$13 −1.3% | — |
| 656d |  mr.ozi2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo74¢ → 100¢ | $4,422 | −$1,574 −36% | — |
| 657d |  Car9 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $12,353 | +$4,778 +39% | 20 |
| 657d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,930 | +$135 +3.4% | 20 |
| 657d | BuyingWinners | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | +$16 +1.5% | 20 |
| 657d | bublif | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,730 | −$33 −1.9% | — |
| 657d | StudentMoney | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,940 | −$60 −2.0% | — |
| 657d | Republican-179 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,377 | −$28 −2.0% | — |
| 657d |  kk147 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,330 | −$27 −2.0% | — |
| 657d | anthh | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | −$20 −2.0% | — |
| 658d | ghgh7792 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,037 | −$163 −2.0% | — |
| 658d |  TheGekko-095 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,776 | −$109 −2.3% | — |
| 658d | Trader2936 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,194 | −$65 −2.0% | — |
| 658d | NELF | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,881 | −$36 −1.9% | — |
| 658d |  GoriIIa | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $53,728 | +$869 +1.6% | 20 |
| 658d |  MMousse4 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $16,915 | +$3,081 +18% | 20 |
| 658d |  Ezypzy2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,742 | −$144 −5.2% | — |
| 658d | Thin-Print | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,574 | −$146 −4.1% | — |
| 658d |  aihoshino | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,544 | −$73 −4.7% | — |
| 658d | xiaohai | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,422 | −$63 −4.4% | — |
| 659d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,892 | −$100 −5.3% | — |
| 659d |  Euan | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | +$56 +5.2% | 20 |
| 659d |  itsfine | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,417 | +$128 +5.3% | 20 |
| 659d | qweq12 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,724 | −$100 −5.8% | — |
| 659d | Trump1 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,644 | −$96 −5.8% | — |
| 660d | Happy-Go-Lucky-Flood2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $8,286 | −$705 −8.5% | — |
| 660d | bbqdumplings2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $5,241 | −$1,267 −24% | — |
| 660d |  AcctToBeRetired4 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $7,555 | −$660 −8.7% | — |
| 661d | AcctToBeRetired3 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $8,123 | +$805 +9.9% | 20 |
| 661d | Shlosmem | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | −$158 −7.5% | — |
| 661d | KokoVeLeon3 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,052 | −$195 −6.4% | — |
| 662d | Trader2936 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,104 | +$96 +8.7% | 21 |
| 662d |  Hornbone | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,045 | +$91 +8.7% | 20 |
| 662d | ggamja | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,989 | +$193 +9.7% | 20 |
| 662d |  WillieBrown | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | −$128 −12% | — |
| 662d | KJH2354 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $6,401 | +$1,165 +18% | 20 |
| 662d | opop5678955 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | −$150 −15% | — |
| 662d | chuckCCK | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $3,426 | +$607 +18% | 20 |
| 662d | denizz | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,717 | −$352 −20% | — |
| 663d | FATMAN2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellYes29¢ → 0¢ | $6,252 | +$6,252 +100% | — |
| 663d |  aka41 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $3,090 | −$1,030 −33% | — |
| 663d |  Kaizer | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellYes22¢ → 0¢ | $2,429 | +$2,429 +100% | — |
| 663d | opop5678955 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,814 | +$512 +28% | 20 |
| 663d | KokoVeLeon3 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$747 +30% | 20 |
| 663d | Thin-Print2 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $6,880 | +$2,120 +31% | 20 |
| 663d | MMousse5 fills | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $9,774 | −$9,774 −100% | 25 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between August 6 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. An official ceasefire agreement requires public recognition by both parties. Any form of informal, unratified, or verbal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. The ceasefire must last at least 24 hours and have begun before the resolution date. For example, if the ceasefire begins on December 31, this market would resolve to "Yes" if the ceasefire continues for 24 hours. This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.
